全球生育率现状
The State Of Global Fertility

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/state-global-fertility

全球生育率正在下降,尤其是在韩国、香港、澳门、波多黎各和日本等发达国家,这主要受到避孕措施普及率提高、女性受教育程度和劳动参与率提高等因素的影响。日本的生育率为1.2,使其成为众多依靠移民来维持人口增长的国家之一。相比之下,发展中国家,尤其是非洲的索马里、乍得、尼日尔、刚果民主共和国、中非共和国和马里等国,生育率要高得多,从而推动了全球人口增长。全球平均生育率已从1963年的每名妇女5.3个孩子下降到2023年的2.2个,下降了一半多。尽管生育率下降,但由于预期寿命延长和儿童死亡率降低,全球人口仍在激增。联合国预测,到本世纪中叶,全球生育率将达到替代水平,到本世纪末可能出现人口下降。


原文

South Korea, together with Hong Kong, Macau and Puerto Rico, is one of only a few places in the world with a fertility rate below 1data by the World Bank shows.

In Japan, another Asian country known to struggle with low birth rates, average births per woman remained at 1.2 in 2023. This places the country among the more than 90 in the world where populations are not growing independent of immigration. Also in this group are many nations from Europe, the Americas and Southeast Asia.

Most of the countries losing fertility are better developed and reasons for the trend include greater access to contraception and more women being educated and heading to work.

As Statista's Katharina Buchholz shows in the chart below, the story is different in the developing world where higher rates of fertility are fueling continued global population growth

Infographic: The State of Global Fertility | Statista 

You will find more infographics at Statista

Somalia, Chad, Niger and the Democratic Republic of the Congo had a fertility rates of 6.1 in 2023, the highest in the world, followed by the Central African Republic and Mali. 

Out of the 31 countries in the world where women had 4 or more children on average, 29 were in Africa that year.

On average, women in 1963 were having 5.3 children in their lifetime and by 2023, that had more than halved to 2.2. 

During the same period, the global population rose by around 150 percent from 3.2 billion to 8.1 billion. 

The fact that populations kept (and keep) growing despite falling global fertility is tied to longer life expectancy and lower childhood mortality. 

The UN expects global fertility to reach the minimum replacement level of 2.1 by the middle of the century while global population is expected to start falling towards the end of it.

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