全球生育率状况
The State Of Global Fertility

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/state-global-fertility

根据 Statista 统计学家 Katharina Buchholz 最近编制的统计数据,2023 年,韩国成为第一个每名女性生育少于 1 个孩子的国家。 生育率低于 2 意味着人口随着时间的推移而减少,而世界上大多数国家的平均出生率为每人 2.1 左右。 与韩国的数据相比,日本的出生率稳定在 1.26,使其跻身全球大约 90 个国家之列,仅因自然原因净增长很少。 尼日尔等发展中国家的生育率在2021年达到6.8,生育水平显着提高。 这些数字突显了受教育和就业机会增加等因素驱动的变化趋势,在欧洲、美洲和东南亚等较富裕地区尤其明显。 然而,全球生育率下降应该与其他人口发展一起看待,包括预期寿命的提高和婴儿死亡率的下降。 根据联合国的预测,未来五年,生育水平将降至更替水平以下,而人口将继续增长,最终开始萎缩。

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原文

South Korea broke its own record when it announced this week that as of 2023, its fertility rate had fallen to just 0.72 births per woman.

The rate at which a population replaces itself between generations without migration stands at around 2.1.

As Statista's Katharina Buchholz reports, the following map with comparable data between countries from 2021, shows that even then South Korea was one of only a few places in the world with a fertility rate below 1.

Infographic: The State of Global Fertility | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

In Japan, which on Tuesday announced a 5 percent decline in births to a record low of 758,631, the birth rate remained at 1.26. This places the country among the approximately 90 in the world where populations are not growing independent of immigration. Also in this group are many nations from Europe, the Americas and Southeast Asia. Most of the countries losing fertility are better developed and reasons for the trend include greater access to contraception and more women being educated and heading to work.

The story is different in the developing world where higher rates of fertility are fueling continued global population growth. The West African country of Niger had a fertility rate of 6.8 in 2021, the highest in the world listed by the World Bank, followed by Somalia, Chad and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Out of the 33 countries in the world where women had 4 or more children on average, 31 were in Africa that year.

On average, women in 1963 were having 5.3 children in their lifetime and by 2021, that had more than halved to 2.3. During the same period, the global population rose by around 150 percent from 3.2 billion to 7.9 billion. The fact that populations kept (and keep) growing despite falling global fertility is tied to longer life expectancy and lower childhood mortality.

The UN expects global fertility to reach the minumum replacement level of 2.1 by the middle of the century while global population is expected to start falling towards the end of it.

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