中国要求银行限制对美国国债的敞口,但对一些人来说“这根本不是问题”。
China Tells Banks To Limit Exposure To US Treasuries, But To Some This Is "Hardly An Issue At All"

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-tells-banks-limit-exposure-us-treasuries-some-hardly-issue-all

有报道称,中国监管机构建议金融机构减少其美国国债持有量,理由是集中风险和市场波动,而非地缘政治问题。这一消息短暂推高了国债收益率,并略微削弱了美元。 据悉,该指示以口头方式传达,不影响中国持有的国家国债。虽然中国银行持有约2980亿美元以美元计价的债券(其中一部分是国债),但西太平洋银行分析师马丁·惠顿淡化了这一影响,指出中国总持有量(6820亿美元)相对于9.4万亿美元的外国总持有量而言相对较小。 此举正值全球投资者普遍质疑美国财政政策和特朗普政府下美元的强势。尽管如此,最新数据显示外国对美国国债的需求创下纪录新高,且该指示早于特朗普和习近平最近的一次通话,表明其重点在于内部风险管理,而非加剧贸易紧张局势。

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原文

Treasury yields hit session highs shortly after midnight ET, when Bloomberg reported that Chinese regulators had advised financial institutions to rein in their holdings of US Treasuries, citing concerns over concentration risks and market volatility.

Citing anonymous "people familiar with the matter" Bloonberg added that officials urged banks to limit purchases of US government bonds and instructed those with high exposure to pare down their positions. The directive doesn’t apply to China’s state holdings of US Treasuries.

Communicated verbally to some of the nation’s biggest banks in recent weeks, the guidance reflects growing wariness among officials that large holdings of US government debt may expose banks to sharp swing . The worries echo those made by governments and fund managers elsewhere amid a brewing debate over the safe haven status of US debt and the appeal of the dollar.

The move, which otherwise would have been seen as a clear escalation in the US-China trade war, was framed around "diversifying market risk" rather than anything to do with geopolitical maneuvering or a fundamental loss of confidence in US creditworthiness, the sources said, adding that officials didn’t given any specific target on size or timing. While significant tensions remain between Beijing and Washington, relations have steadied in the wake of a trade truce last year.

Treasuries slipped on the news, with yields edging higher across maturities in Asian afternoon trading. The dollar weakened slightly against major peers.

According to data from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Chinese banks held about $298 billion worth of dollar-denominated bonds as of September, It’s unclear how much of those were Treasuries.

Largely dismissing the report, Westpac's Martin Whetton said that China’s holdings of US Treasuries peaked in 2017, and what’s left is small relative to the size of the overall market.Now at $682 billion, China’s holdings represent “hardly an issue at all,” says Martin Whetton, head of financial markets strategy.

“If you include Belgium and Luxembourg, which can be proxies for some of their holdings, you’d barely make it over $750 billion”, which actually is completely incorrect since Belgium alone holds $481 billion in TSYs, as shown below.

A lot of US debt will be held by China’s official institutions and is likely short-dated for liquidity reasons, Whetton said. “So what is left for the banks is small, and China doesn’t exactly set the Treasury market on fire at the monthly auctions”

Donald Trump, who held a phone call with Xi Jinping last week, plans to meet the Chinese leader at a presidential summit in Beijing as soon as April. The regulatory guidance to Chinese banks on Treasuries came before last week’s call, the people said.

China’s warning comes as global investors question Washington’s fiscal discipline. Concerns have mounted regarding Trump’s commitment to a strong dollar and the continued independence of the Federal Reserve. Last month, Deutsche Bank's FX analyst George Saravelos warned that money managers in Europe could choose to trim their holdings in response to Trump’s threats on tariffs and the proposed acquisition of Greenland, a call which sparked an international scandal with Deutsche Bank washing its hands off his comments. 

Still, Scott Bessent said last week that “despite the popular narrative,” the Treasuries market last year delivered its best performance since 2020 and saw record foreign demand at auctions.

For context, foreign holdings of US Treasuries rose to a record $9.4 trillion in November, more than $500 billion higher than a year earlier, according to the latest official data.

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