乌克兰初步同意特朗普支持的和平计划,油价下跌。
Ukraine Tentatively Agrees To Trump-Backed Peace Plan, Sending Oil Sliding

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ukraine-tentatively-agrees-trump-backed-peace-plan-sending-oil-sliding

据美国官员称,乌克兰已初步同意一项美国支持的和平计划,但仍有“一些细节”待定。该协议由特朗普政府设定的周四截止日期推动,促使在日内瓦和阿布扎比举行的谈判进入紧张阶段。 然而,该协议面临重大障碍。虽然乌克兰公开抵制割让领土,但关键症结在于美国计划要求乌克兰放弃未来加入北约的资格。俄罗斯也不太可能接受该计划,特别是西方为乌克兰提供的安全保障,担心未来冲突。 尽管泽连斯基承诺不阻碍和平,但他强调维护乌克兰的独立和主权。分析人士警告说,“魔鬼藏在细节中”,俄罗斯的接受程度远未得到保证,尽管乐观的标题和由此导致的原油价格下跌。

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原文

A US official privy to negotiations is claiming major progress Tuesday, telling ABC News the Ukrainian delegation has agreed to the United States' potential peace plan, at a moment it's still being hotly debated, especially among the Europeans.

"The Ukrainians have agreed to the peace deal," the US official said, but without specifying much in the way of details. "There are some minor details to be sorted out but they have agreed to a peace deal."

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Of course, the proverbial devil is in the details, along with each side's 'red lines' - and so this claim should be taken with caution at this still very early point.

The Trump White House has set a deadline of Thursday, or Thanksgiving Day in America, for the warring sides to reach a deal. This suggests these talks are moving along with intensity and a sense of urgency.

"United States Army Secretary Dan Driscoll held secret talks on Monday with a Russian delegation in Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates to follow up on this weekend’s talks with Ukraine in Geneva that were intended to move the Ukraine peace process forward," ABC cites a US official further as describing.

Oil slides on the optimistic headline that Ukraine has tentatively agreed to the Trump-backed deal...

As we described Monday evening, the Zelensky government has still appeared publicly resistant to any deal which cedes territory to Russian forces. Also most importantly is that the Ukrainian government has said it will reject outside attempts to control its future alliances, which is a reference to the US plan's call for a commitment that Ukraine never join NATO.

Also injecting some realism in these front-running headlines is The Washington Post Tuesday morning, which writes:

Russia is unlikely to accept changes in the new peace plan to end the war that the U.S. and Ukraine are negotiating over, say analysts, even as U.S. Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll is in the United Arab Emirates meeting with a Russian delegation and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is expected in the United States.

From Moscow's point of view the most objectionable term is to accept that Ukraine would be given 'Article 5-style' security guarantees by the Western alliance. This could be recipe for future major war, if NATO-like guarantees are given.

But Zelensky in his latest statement on X pledged that Ukraine would "never be an obstacle to peace" - but also emphasized the importance of his country remaining independent and sovereign. What that means by the end of this process is still very up in the air at this point.

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