活牛期货月度跌幅创五年最大,特朗普“可负担性行动”启动。
Live Cattle Futures See Sharpest Monthly Slide In Five Years As Trump's "Operation Affordability" Begins

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/live-cattle-futures-see-sharpest-monthly-slide-five-years-trumps-operation

活牛期货正面临自新冠疫情开始以来最大的月度跌幅,原因是特朗普总统的“可负担性行动”计划。该计划包括取消关税——具体而言,取消对来自巴西等国家食品进口的40%关税,自11月13日起生效。目标是在中期选举前降低食品价格,特别是牛肉价格,以此抵消政府认为前任政府的通胀政策。 尽管由于现有短缺,牛价仍接近历史高位,但预计增加的进口将限制未来价格上涨,类似于近期鸡蛋价格的下跌。此举对消费者有利,但对美国牧场主不利。政府将这项政策定位为对抗“马克思主义”和反对党承诺的“免费物资”的斗争,而是专注于为美国家庭提供可负担性。

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原文

Live cattle futures are on track for their steepest monthly decline since the early months of the Covid pandemic, as expectations around President Trump's Operation Affordability appear to be pressuring prices.

Markets are pricing in Trump's move to expand beef imports from Latin American countries. This was the news on Thursday, when the administration rolled back tariffs on some Brazilian food imports, including the full 40% levy

These changes are retroactive to Nov. 13, cover key goods like beef, coffee, and orange juice, and are intended to ease sticky food inflation left over from the Biden-Harris regime years. This comes ahead of the midterm election cycle. 

Brazil, the world's largest exporter of coffee and beef, had seen its shipments to the US shrink under the higher tariffs, exacerbating shortages and record food prices.

"What happened is the president said, look, it's been six months. It's time. Let's just wipe the slate clean. If people haven't made deals with these smaller countries, it's okay. Let's cut the price on all these unavailable natural resources, and let's focus on affordability," Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told Fox Business on Thursday, adding, "The president's going to focus on the small things that touch the Americans' pocketbook, and he's going to bring them all down." 

Despite the pullback in live cattle futures, prices are still hovering near record highs due to a severe cattle shortage (read here). But if the recent collapse in egg prices is any indication of what happens when the administration targets affordability, a surge in foreign beef could provide a temporary ceiling on beef prices next year.

Important:

Bad for American ranchers, but good for consumers heading into the midterms. The administration's affordability push is aimed at countering the spread of Marxism emanating from the Democratic Party, where the radical left continues dangling the promise of free stuff to win voters. 

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