伊朗面临前所未有的干旱,水危机冲击德黑兰。
Iran faces unprecedented drought as water crisis hits Tehran

原始链接: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4p2yzmem0o

伊朗,特别是德黑兰,正经历着一场严重且前所未有的秋季干旱,降雨量创历史新低,水库严重枯竭。佩泽什基扬总统警告可能实行用水配给,甚至如果情况没有改善,可能需要疏散德黑兰——这一提议被广泛批评为不切实际。 这场危机已经影响到日常生活,居民开始使用瓶装水并计划寻找替代水源。为德黑兰供水的关键水坝,如拉蒂安和卡拉吉,蓄水量均低于10%,而且其中很多无法使用。 除了基础设施问题和近期冲突造成的破坏外,核心问题是降雨量与去年相比大幅下降了92%。这场危机不仅限于首都;马什哈德等城市也面临着危险的低水位——一些水坝的水位低于3%。这场干旱是一个长期预见的问题,甚至最高领袖哈梅内伊也多次承认,但系统性的解决方案仍然难以找到,导致超过1600万伊朗人面临缺水威胁。

## 伊朗面临严重水危机 伊朗正遭受严重干旱,德黑兰的1600万居民可能面临缺水。这场危机源于多种因素,包括管理不善、腐败(可能将水资源转移到favored项目)、将资金优先用于地区冲突和核野心而非基础设施建设,以及气候变化的影响。 讨论的中心在于,这种情况是政策选择的直接结果——特别是优先考虑地缘政治目标而非基本基础设施——还是伊朗政府内部系统性问题的更广泛问题。一些人建议海水淡化作为解决方案,可能利用核电产生的废热,而另一些人则指出该国的地理挑战和现有制裁。 评论员强调伊朗长期以来的不稳定以及1979年革命的影响,认为错失了和平与经济发展的机会。关于外部因素(如制裁)与内部问题(如神权政权及其优先事项)的作用存在争论。最终,局势严峻,可能导致大规模流离失所,甚至政权更迭。
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原文

Parham GhobadiBBC Persian

Iran - especially its capital, Tehran - is facing an unprecedented drought this autumn, with rainfall at record lows and reservoirs nearly empty. Officials are pleading with citizens to conserve water as the crisis deepens.

President Masoud Pezeshkian has warned that if there is not enough rainfall soon, Tehran's water supply could be rationed. But he said that even rationing might not be enough to prevent a disaster.

"If rationing doesn't work," Pezeshkian said, "we may have to evacuate Tehran."

His comments have prompted criticism in Iranian newspapers and on social media. Former Tehran mayor Gholamhossein Karbaschi called the idea "a joke" and said "evacuating Tehran makes no sense at all".

Iran's meteorological officials say no rainfall is expected over the next 10 days.

Meanwhile, the water crisis is already affecting daily life in the capital.

"I'm planning to buy water tankers to use for toilets and other necessities," a woman in Tehran told BBC Persian.

In the summer, Iranian rapper Vafa Ahmadpoor posted a video on social media showing a kitchen faucet with no running water.

"It's been four or five hours," he said. "I've bought bottled water just to be able to go to the toilet."

Dams nearly empty

The manager of the Latian Dam, one of Tehran's main water sources, says it now holds less than 10% of its capacity. The nearby Karaj Dam — which supplies water to both Tehran and Alborz provinces — is in a similarly dire condition.

"I have never seen this dam so empty since I was born," an elderly local resident told Iranian state TV.

According to Mohammad-Ali Moallem, the manager of the Karaj Dam, rainfall has plummeted dramatically.

"We had a 92% decrease in rain compared to last year," he said. "We have only eight per cent water in our reservoir — and most of it is unusable and considered 'dead water.'"

Fears of water cuts

The government is now pinning its hopes on late autumn rain, but forecasts are bleak. Iran's Minister of Energy, Abbas Ali Abadi, has warned the situation could soon force authorities to cut water supplies.

"Some nights we might decrease the water flow to zero," he said.

Officials have also announced plans to penalise households and businesses that consume excessive amounts of water.

The government has warned that it may have to restrict water supplies if the weather remains dry

Pipes, war damage - and a widening crisis

Iran's energy minister Ali Abadi has said Tehran's water crisis is not only due to a lack of rainfall. He blamed water leakage caused by the capital's century-old water infrastructure and even pointed to the recent 12-day war with Israel.

During that conflict, Israel targeted the northern Tehran neighbourhood of Tajrish on 15 June. Afterwards videos showed heavy flooding in the area.

The day after the strike, the Israel Defence Forces said it had targeted Iranian military "command centres".

But the crisis extends far beyond the capital.

The head of Iran's National Centre for Climate and Drought Crisis Management, Ahmad Vazifeh, has warned that, apart from Tehran, dams in many other provinces — including West Azerbaijan, East Azerbaijan and Markazi — are also in a "worrying state", with water levels in the single-digit percentages.

In Mashhad, Iran's second-largest city, officials are sounding the alarm as well.

The Governor of Khorasan Razavi Province in north-east Iran, said the water reserves in Mashhad's dams have dropped to "less than eight percent," warning that the province faces a "mega-challenge of drought."

CEO of Mashhad's Water and Wastewater Company put the figure even lower.

"The storage level of the city's main dam is below three percent," Hossein Esmaeilian said.

"Only three percent of the combined capacity of Mashhad's four water-supplying dams — Torogh, Kardeh, Doosti, and Ardak — remains. Apart from Doosti Dam, the other three are out of operation."

A crisis long foreseen

Iran's water crisis has been decades in the making.

Even Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has repeatedly acknowledged the looming threat — speaking about water shortages in his Nowruz addresses in 2011 and on other occasions in the following years.

Yet little has changed.

Today, Tehran, Karaj and Mashhad — home to more than 16 million people combined — are facing the real possibility of their taps running dry.

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