战争失败的代价
The Price Of Failed Wars

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/price-failed-wars

近年来,美国的军事干预出现了失误,导致结果失败、成本增加和人员伤亡。 这些结果在美国人的心中留下了深深的情感创伤,人们质疑继续在海外进行代价高昂的活动的有效性,特别是在伊拉克和阿富汗等地。 现实并不是因为怀疑而对战争犹豫不决,而是因为人们看不到战争的政治和领导方面如何导致浪费的牺牲。 领导力问题仍然是一个主要障碍。 政治决策往往与长期战略相矛盾,导致国际事务中的行动不一致和临时。 缺乏一致性和远见加剧了盟友之间的不确定性,并鼓励敌人利用这些不稳定因素。 相比之下,美国的对手以世纪为单位思考,而不是四年的政治周期。 因此,任何成功的希望都在很大程度上依赖于强有力的领导和一致的决策。 此外,民间社会对政客和军队普遍存在不信任感。 当人们意识到他们不能指望政府有效地战略执行计划时,让他们去应对那些被认为无法克服的挑战就变得具有挑战性。 此外,过去的错误继续困扰着我们并影响未来的行为,因为人们会问自己,如果过去的行为导致了灾难性的结果,“为什么还要麻烦”。 为了鼓励招募,我们需要找到弥合政治机构和普通民众之间分歧的方法。 另一个挑战是赢得家乡民众的民心与赢得遥远土地上的战斗之间的差距越来越大。 通常,公众想知道他们的贡献(个人和财务)是否能转化为切实的成果。 在即时满足的时代,要在几十年内取得胜利,需要军界内外巨大的心理毅力。 为了减轻这些担忧,解决方案的重点是通过政府行动的透明度和问责制来重建信任。 领导者必须诚实地认识到以前的企业从一开始就注定要失败。 只要有可能,承认错误并道歉将对解决过去失败的问题大有帮助。 此外,奖励那些冒着生命危险的勇敢英雄,同时确保为遭受最重大损失的家庭伸张正义,对于恢复人们对机构的信心至关重要。

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原文

Authored by Simone Leeden via RealClear Wire,

A growing number of Americans grapple with a profound dilemma. This dilemma stems from our recent and painful history of interventions gone awry, and outcomes that diverged sharply from the intended goals. The conversation regarding the reasons for our current decline in military recruitment numbers, combined with Americans' increasing isolationism, should include more than just the scourge of "wokeism." We must scrutinize our failures, take the important lessons learned, and hold failed leaders accountable.

The scars from the Iraq War run deep in the American psyche. A war initiated under the pretense of eliminating weapons of mass destruction ultimately transformed Iraq into an Iranian satellite. The toll in blood and treasure was staggering. Our nation, me included, realized that the promised liberation had instead sown chaos and instability.

Similarly, the two-decade-long engagement in Afghanistan aimed to oust the Taliban and establish a stable government. Despite immense investments, our chaotic withdrawal and the subsequent collapse of the Afghan government and its armed forces, has raised questions about the efficacy of such prolonged wars when we have such fickle political leadership. Skepticism has taken root, with many Americans questioning the wisdom of sacrificing lives and resources for outcomes that seem elusive at best.

American reluctance to engage in wars is rooted in a distrust of political and military leadership, rather than a doubt in the military's capabilities. This skepticism is fueled by the observation that, despite the military's ability to achieve success, political decisions and a lack of long-term commitment often undermine these efforts. The experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan, where years of sacrifice and significant casualties ultimately led to withdrawal and diminished any chance of lasting success, exemplify this concern. People question why they should support wars when leadership decisions may negate the potential for enduring achievements.

One glaring issue is the short attention span exhibited on the global stage. While adversaries plan and act in terms of decades and generations, American foreign policy often succumbs to the volatility of short-term political cycles. The absence of a cohesive, long-term strategy that spans administrations weakens the nation's position, allowing adversaries to exploit the inherent instability in U.S. foreign policy.

Furthermore, the demonization and alienation of potential military recruits exacerbate the problem. How can a government expect the public to rally behind its wars when it criticizes and ostracizes those who bear the burden of fighting? Americans want to win, and this desire for victory is palpable not only on the battlefield but also in the hearts of those considering military service. Yet, the disconnect between the government's strategic failures and the aspirations of potential recruits creates an insurmountable gap.

A successful military requires the trust and support of its citizens, and this trust erodes when the government fails to appreciate the sacrifices made by the men and women in uniform. The burden of entering an arena where victory seems elusive becomes a heavy deterrent for those considering military service. Recruiters face an uphill battle, attempting to sell a vision of success when recent history is marred by missteps and questionable outcomes.

Equally troubling is the lack of accountability for failure. While soldiers face the consequences of failed missions, higher-ranking officials often escape scrutiny. Generals and admirals who preside over misguided campaigns receive a pass for their failures, fostering a culture of impunity that only perpetuates strategic missteps.

The concept of deterrence, once a cornerstone of U.S. foreign policy, has lost its effectiveness. Simply restoring deterrence is not tantamount to destroying the enemy; this requires a fundamental shift in strategic thinking.

In conclusion, the reluctance of many Americans to join the military and support further engagement in global conflicts doesn't arise from a misguided sympathy for foreign adversaries or a desire for isolation. Instead, it is a response to decades of strategic failures, misguided interventions, and a lack of accountability. Rebuilding trust in the government's ability to conduct successful military campaigns demands true introspection and accountability. Only then can the United States truly earn the support of its citizens and regain its standing as a global leader.

Simone Ledeen is an accomplished national security professional with expertise spanning defense policy, intelligence, counterterrorism, counter threat finance, and emerging technologies. As Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Middle East Policy, Ms. Ledeen was responsible for US defense policy for Bahrain, Egypt, Israel, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestinian Authority, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, United Arab Emirates and Yemen. She strengthened key U.S. defense relationships through close collaboration with foreign counterparts and oversaw the development and implementation of critical policies and initiatives including in counterterrorism, information operations, cybersecurity, and emerging technologies. Ms. Ledeen advises several venture capital and early-stage defense technology firms. Previously, Ms. Ledeen held various leadership roles across the U.S. Government, executing complex operations overseas and spearheading initiatives to counter extremist threats. She received her MBA from Bocconi University and her B.A. from Brandeis University.

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