OpenAI 可能入不敷出。 这就是你需要的地方。
OpenAI probably can't make ends meet. That's where you come in

原始链接: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/if-you-thought-the-2008-bank-bailout

OpenAI的萨姆·奥特曼对公司1.4万亿美元的巨额债务和130亿美元收入之间的差距问题反应强烈,不愿正面回应,甚至表示愿意为持怀疑态度的投资者寻找买家。他预计ChatGPT、人工智能云平台和科学自动化将推动收入大幅增长,并承认存在固有风险。 然而,现在披露OpenAI正在寻求一笔重大的、*间接的*政府补贴,理由是人工智能是国家战略资产,对与中国竞争至关重要。他们的首席财务官公开提出了这一想法,暗示纳税人的钱应该支持该公司。 此举是在之前讨论政府支持之后发生的,引发了人们对OpenAI试图采取“大到不能倒”策略的担忧,将财务负担转嫁给纳税人和工人,同时支出远超其收入。批评人士呼吁立即采取行动——联系国会,反对使用公共资金来救助该公司。

## OpenAI 的财务担忧与潜在救助 - 摘要 近期一篇文章以及随后的 Hacker News 讨论强调了 OpenAI 尽管拥有广泛的用户群体(每周 8 亿活跃用户),但其财务可持续性仍令人担忧。虽然 OpenAI 目前并不专注于盈利,但其大规模的基础设施建设(可能超过 1 万亿美元)引发了对其长期可行性和对投资及潜在政府贷款的依赖的质疑。 许多评论员对 OpenAI 的商业模式表示怀疑,指出其缺乏收入以及追求成本高昂、不可持续的 AGI 的可能性。人们对投资规模与其他初创公司的比较以及将损失社会化而收益私有化的风险表示担忧。一些人认为 OpenAI 试图变得“大到不能倒”,以确保获得政府支持。 讨论还涉及人工智能投资的更广泛影响,质疑其收益是否能证明巨大的财务风险和潜在的经济破坏。关于是否应该进行救助存在争论,一些人主张以换取财政支持的方式进行纳税人所有权,而另一些人则担心进一步的公司影响以及技术潜在的滥用。最终,对话的中心是创新、经济稳定以及潜在大规模金融危机之间的紧张关系。
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原文

A few days ago, Sam Altman got seriously pissed off when Brad Gerstner had the temerity to ask how OpenAI was going to pay the $1.4 trillion in obligations he was taking on, given a mere $13 billion in revenue.

In a long, but mostly empty answer Altman pointed to revenue that hasn’t been reported and that maybe doesn’t exist, attacked the questioner, and promised that future revenue would be awsome

First of all. We’re doing well more revenue than that. Second of all, Brad, if you want to sell your shares, I’ll find you a buyer. I just, enough. I think there’s a lot of people who would love to buy OpenAI shares. I think people who talk with a lot of breathless concern about our compute stuff or whatever, that would be thrilled to buy shares. So I think we could sell your shares or anybody else’s to some of the people who are making the most noise on Twitter about this very quickly. We do plan for revenue to grow steeply. Revenue is growing steeply. We are taking a forward bet that it’s going to continue to grow and that not only will ChatGPT keep growing, but we will be able to become one of the important AI clouds, that our consumer device business will be a significant and important thing, that AI that can automate science will create huge value. .. we carefully plan. We understand where the technology, where the capability is going to grow and how the products we can build around that and the revenue we can generate. We might screw it up. This is the bet that we’re making and we’re taking a risk along with that. A certain risk is if we don’t have the compute, we will not be able to generate the revenue or make the models at this kind of scale.”

What Altman couldn’t say then was that he has a plan, to reduce the cost of his borrowing … by having the American taxpayer (indirectly) foot the bill.

The cat came out of the bag today, at a Wall Street Journal conference, from the mouth of OpenAI’s CFO, who seemed to be test-piloting the notion:

In justifying what would like be among the biggest (indirect) government subsidies in history, Friar said, “AI is almost a national strategic asset. We really need to thoughtful when we think about competition with, for example, China.” (NVidia seems intent on making exactly the same play.)

Remember this tweet?

To the letter, almost 10 months to the day, exactly that game is now on. And I already hear rumors that the government is likely go along.

Which means you, the taxpayer, will be footing the bill.

Disgusting. Tell your congress person — today — that you don’t want your taxes used to bail out overhyping and economically shaky AI companies that spend far more than they earn. Workers, already feeling the knife from layoffs, should not be footing the bill.

Get ahead of this before the too-big-to-fail bullshit becomes too-late-to-stop.

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