如果SETI成功了,我们该怎么办?
What do we do if SETI is successful?

原始链接: https://www.universetoday.com/articles/what-do-we-do-if-seti-is-successful

## SETI 协议更新:为首次接触做准备 搜寻地外文明(SETI)计划的范围已超出无线电波,现在考虑激光发射和戴森球群等潜在信号。为了反映这种演变以及现代世界的复杂性,国际宇航科学院(IAA)正在对 1989 年的“原则宣言”进行重大更新——该宣言是应对确认的地外信号的协议。这是 36 年来的最大修订。 关键变化包括优先保护研究人员免受发现后的潜在网络骚扰,以及至关重要的是,主张在发送任何回复*之前*进行联合国讨论。这与之前鼓励立即回复的协议形成对比。此次更新侧重于对信号进行严格验证、安全的数据存储以及开放的分析工具访问。 值得注意的是,这不适用于主动信息传递(METI),后者仍然是一个独立且备受争议的话题。IAA 旨在制定“最佳实践”而非严格规则,并建议涉及国际电信联盟以保护信号带宽。此次更新承认了潜在接触周围日益增长的政治和社会敏感性,代表着人类为可能的最深刻发现之一做好准备的重要一步。

## 如果我们探测到外星智慧生命? 最近在Hacker News上的一场讨论引发了关于人类对SETI成功探测的回应的争论。 回应范围从谨慎准备到彻底悲观。 许多评论员引用“黑暗森林”假说和先进文明遭遇欠发达文明的历史平行,提倡保密——尽量减少电磁辐射,并尝试解码外星信号,而不暴露我们的存在。 另一些人质疑探测到的信号是否甚至会*有意*指向我们,并指出星际通信的挑战以及误解“噪音”的可能性。 有些人对假设外星动机会反映人类竞争倾向表示怀疑,并建议存在共生关系的可能性。 一个反复出现的主题是公众可能出现的混乱反应,与电影《接触》和《别抬头》相提并论,人们担心恐慌、邪教和否认。 另一种更黑暗的观点认为,任何能够进行星际通信的文明很可能会毫不犹豫地压倒人类。 最终,这场讨论强调了人类应对如此重大事件的成熟度和准备程度的担忧,以及我们是否会将科学诚信置于短期利益之上。
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原文

The Search For Extra Terrestrial Intelligence (SETI) is evolving. We’ve moved on from the limited thinking of monitoring radio waves to checking for interstellar pushing lasers or even budding Dyson swarms around stars. To match our increased understanding of the ways we might find intelligence elsewhere in the galaxy, the International Academy of Astronautics (IAA) is working through an update to its protocols for what researchers should do after a confirmed detection of intelligence outside of Earth. Their new suggestions are available in a pre-print paper on arXiv, but were also voted on at the 2025 International Astronautical Congress (IAC) in Sydney, with potential full adoption early next year.

This updated protocol marks the largest change in the 36 years there has been a protocol. THe IAA first created a “Declaration of Principles” in 1989 that was intended to suggest how humanity should react to a confirmed signal from an alien world. This protocol was updated in 2010, but those changes were largely just streamlining with little substantive differences.

The update being put forth now, though, is significantly different in a number of important ways. It is intended to reflect the growing complexity of dealing with highly sensitive topics in the modern world, especially when dealing with social media. A big part of its intent is to protect the researchers who announce the discovery from online harassment, or worse.

Fraser interviews Seth Shostak from the SETI Institute

But perhaps the most important single change is the suggestion of whether humanity should respond to a direct message. Previous versions of the protocol have suggested that yes, we should, and put few restrictions on doing so. The updated one suggests that the researchers should absolutely not send any reply until after the issue is discussed at the United Nations, which makes sense, though getting the UN itself to agree to anything at this point seems like a hard ask.

To be clear, as it is explicitly stated in the paper, this suggestion does not directly impact the idea of messaging extraterrestrial intelligence (METI), where we would proactively send high power signals ourselves to potentially promising nearby star systems. That idea is even more controversial than just passing scanning the skies for signals, or looking for other, unintentional “technosignatures”. While it should probably have its own governing protocol, the best we have done so far is a series of “position papers” from the IAA and other organizations addressing thoughts on what we should do, but which hasn’t been formally ratified into an accepted set of actions.

The actions in the new SETI protocol, though, are much more straightforward, though they too are to be thought of as “best practices” rather than hard and fast rules that bind anyone in the international order. They include methods for verifying the signal or collected data, as well as how and where to store the data (in two separate geographical locations and made accessible to more stakeholders), as well as the software used to analyze the data itself.

Fraser discusses the question of whether SETI is worth it?

If the signal happens to be electromagnetic, which is what started the SETI search in the first place, the paper suggests petitioning the International Telecommunications Union (ITU), the governing body of the world’s wireless channel distribution, to free up the bandwidth it was detected on. That would lessen any interference, intentional or otherwise, from manmade sources - or at least give legal recourse to stopping the interference.

Overall the message from the update is that the world has gotten much more complex in the last fifteen years - ranging from the political and social environment on Earth to our understanding of what a SETI discovery might look like. While no organization claims to have all the answers to what to do should we find a signal indicating alien intelligence, the way the IAA has been handling this update process, which has been ongoing with multiple rounds of revisions over the last two years, has been exemplary. The final step in its ratification, assuming it passed the simple majority vote in Sydney, is to have the IAA’s board ratify it, allowing the sub-committee that developed it to continue its underappreciated, but one day potentially vital, work.

Learn More:

M. A. Garrett et al - SETI Post-Detection Protocols: Progress Towards a New Version

UT - Setting Bounds On SETI

UT - Scientists are Planning for Life After Finding Aliens

UT - We Could Snoop on Extraterrestrial Communications Networks

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