中国C919客机面临延误,尽管大型航空公司下了大量订单。
China's C919 Jet Faces Delays Despite Big Airline Orders

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/chinas-c919-jet-faces-delays-despite-big-airline-orders

中国的C919窄体客机项目面临交付延误,令人惊讶的是,原因在于对美国制造的发动机的依赖。尽管目标是在2025年大幅扩张机队,但中国国际航空、中国东方航空和中国南方航空等主要航空公司收到的飞机数量远低于预期。 问题集中在GE和Safran联合生产的LEAP-1C发动机上,分析师指出库存有限,并且GE对交付存在担忧——此前曾因美国早些时候的出口暂停而受到短暂影响。这种对美国零部件的依赖现在被认为是Comac(该客机的制造商)的“战略弱点”。 自C919首次亮相以来,已有超过200万名乘客乘坐过该机型,但行业专家认为,中国国内的当前需求并不迫切,并且该机型在国外的增长缓慢,预计扩张速度将比Comac所声明的目标更为谨慎。

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原文

For once, something China relies on the US for to build is the problem, and not the other way around...

Deliveries of China’s first narrowbody jet, the C919, appear to be lagging, with financial reports from the country’s top three airlines raising questions about engine supply, the South China Morning Post wrote this week.

Air China and China Eastern each received only one aircraft in the first half of the year despite targeting 10 additions in 2025. China Southern, which expected 12 deliveries this year, reported “financially leased” just three by June, without noting ownership.

Flightradar24 data shows higher totals: Air China and China Southern with five C919s each, and China Eastern with 11. Future plans remain ambitious – Air China expects 10 deliveries in 2026 and 2027, while China Eastern projects nine this year, then 10 each in 2026 and 2027.

SCMP writes that the jet’s maker, Comac, aims to challenge Airbus and Boeing, and says over 2 million passengers have flown on the model since its May 2023 debut. But analysts warn of pressure on engine supplies. “Comac has stockpiled some engines and key systems … these buffers cover months of production rather than years,” aviation advisory IBA said.

Independent analyst Li Hanming added: “GE is concerned about the delivery of Leap engines,” noting Comac’s “very low profile.” The LEAP-1C is jointly produced by GE and France’s Safran. While the Trump administration briefly suspended engine sales earlier this year, the ban was lifted in July.

IBA cautioned that reliance on US-made modules is a “strategic vulnerability.”

Some analysts argue demand in China isn’t urgent. Civil aviation data shows utilisation rates at 8.9 hours per aircraft in 2023 versus the global average of 9.3. “I’d say there is no need for capacity at the moment,” said Dennis Lau of Asian Sky Group. “There are plenty of aircraft floating around in China.”

Outside China, Comac has sold its smaller C909 (formerly ARJ21) in Southeast Asia but is still seeking approval for the C919. IBA predicts “more measured growth” than Comac’s stated targets.

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