FOBO? 世界经济论坛预测五年内 44% 的人类技能将被人工智能取代
FOBO? The WEF Predicts 44% Of Human Skills Will Be Replaced By AI In Five Years

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/fobo-wef-predicts-44-human-skills-will-be-replaced-ai-five-years

世界经济论坛 (WEF) 的一份报告指出,由于人工智能 (AI) 的进步,五年内全球近一半的现有技能可能会被淘汰。 根据同一项研究,到 2027 年,大约 44% 的技能可能会被取代,近 42% 的所有业务相关能力也可能消失。 虽然人工智能在某些涉及数据应用的蓝领行业中的作用将会增强,但它可能会导致传统白领工作人员普遍失业,特别是在与信息技术相关的领域,包括数据收集、 软件开发、研究分析、网络安全等。 与普遍看法相反,人工智能无法表现出意识或创造力,也不具备物理操作的能力。 相反,主要目标是增加现有的就业机会,取代以前手动执行的特定角色。 尽管被宣传为一种不可避免的现象,但 FOBO(即担心变得过时)在现实中较少存在,而更多地是主流媒体耸人听闻的报道的结果。 此外,关于人工智能即将接管的建议一直被专家们揭穿,他们坚持认为人类劳动在医学、科学、工程、能源、资源效率、数学、物理等几个关键领域仍然具有重要意义。 尽管如此,人工智能在生成数据和消除人类贡献方面的潜力仍然是一个令人信服的论点。 然而,这种趋势是否会转化为有意义的实际应用,或者仅仅是一种干扰,仍有待解释。 最后,虽然它提供了无限的可能性,但必须谨慎对待此类技术创新,因为其有效性在很大程度上取决于其预期用途。 与其他任何事情一样,过分强调潜在结果也会带来危险。 因此,仔细考虑其利用仍然至关重要。

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原文

If there was ever a moment in history when globalists have been unable to contain their unsettling glee it was the moment that Artificial Intelligence became a focus of public discourse.  It's clear that the World Economic Forum worships AI – Lavishing the technology with praise and describing it as the end-all-be-all of human industry.  AI, they claim, will change the world so rapidly that most people will not be able to keep up with the advancements.

We have yet to see any of these advancements in the real world, of course.  In fact, it's difficult to pinpoint any tangible benefits produced by AI so far other than making it easier for college kids to cheat on essays.  And here is where we run into a disconnect between what the WEF predicts and what is most likely to happen according to the evidence.

Is AI really the do-it-all technology that globalists make it out to be?  Is half of humanity going to be replaced with automation?  

The establishment media has been building up this notion as an inevitability, with millions of people (mostly within Gen Z) now experiencing anxiety over the possibility that they will one day have no career options because of AI.  The WEF even promotes a term for this feeling:  FOBO (which apparently now means Fear Of Becoming Obsolete).    

FOBO originally meant “fear of better options,” but the WEF has co-opted it and adjusted it for their AI narrative.  

Automation is nothing new to first-world industries and adapting to it has not necessarily made anyone's place in the economy “obsolete.”  The media tends to suggest that hands-on jobs in areas such as agriculture, manufacturing and retail are going the way of the Dodo soon.  However, AI seems to represent a much greater threat to people in the white collar sector dealing with information tech.  People in data collection, software development, web development, research analysis, information security, etc. are far more likely to be replaced by AI.  

AI essentially automates data applications, making it possible for the average layman to one day “code” in a way that once took programmers years to learn.  For example, web development is becoming so automated these days it will not be long before web designers are out of work.  

AI has exhibited zero evidence of consciousness and creativity and has no capacity to operate widely in the physical world.  The globalist answer to this problem is their suggestion that "data" is the new economy, and that eventually robots will handle the physical.  This sounds like a pipe dream, but if the "data economy' is going to be the focus of AI for the foreseeable future, this means that if AI leads to a job apocalypse it will be primarily in the white collar world.

The WEF partially admits to this development in a recent paper on FOBO, in which they argue that around 44% of skill sets will become obsolete by 2027, and 42% of business related skill sets will be replaced by AI.  

Far from becoming the all-knowing data-god hailed by WEF zealots like Yuval Harari, it appears much more likely that AI would simply augment or replace a number of office workers.  For now, no significant advancements in medical science, space science, engineering, energy science, resource efficiency, mathematics, physics, etc. have been produced by AI.  We're all waiting around for AI to blow past human science and nothing is happening.  If all AI can do is put data programmers out of work, what good is it?

Interestingly, AI software makes some incredible claims very similar to the boasts of globalists.  Here is what AI had to say about its plans for the world of human art:

“Imagine waking up one day and finding your job has been automated overnight by intelligent machines. Then you discover even the career you dreamed of pursuing next has already been mastered by AI. 

Quickly, more and more human domains once thought impossible to replicate – art, music, emotion – fall prey to advancing algorithms until all uniquely human talent and purpose dwindles in the face of superior robotic counterparts. Soon your very existence becomes trivial … unnecessary.”

This is a fascinating omission bordering on delusion.  Not the delusions of AI, but the delusions of whoever programmed the software to say this (and no, AI does not currently think for itself).  AI art is generally considered generic and often terrible because it merely plagiarizes human art and then spits out an uninspired copy.  The notion that a soulless algorithm will ever be able to create emotionally charged art, music, literature and more is naive.  

It's not so much about what AI can actually do (which is very little), it's more about what the public is convinced that AI can do.  Globalists argue that the “data economy” will replace all other functions of civilization and trade as AI takes over.  But what good is data without application?  The only application of such a system would be to manipulate or control popular perception.  To make people believe things that are not true, to influence their behavior and to convince the public that they are no longer necessary.  

This is where AI technology shines.  It's not useful to industry, it does little to advance scientific discovery and it doesn't make the lives of individuals easier; rather it is only useful to the globalist agenda.     

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