史诗级回忆,史诗级失败
Epic Recall, Epic Fail

原始链接: https://taipology.substack.com/p/epic-recall-epic-fail

台湾最近的罢免选举中,民主进步党(民进党)遭遇意外失利,所有24位被目标罢免的国民党(国民党)立法委员均成功保住席位。由年轻志愿者推动的“史诗级罢免”运动,旨在通过罢免被指责亲中倾向的立法委员来“保护台湾”,但未能获得选民支持。 尽管该运动成功收集到足够的罢免请愿签名——民进党未能做到这一点——但最终适得其反。许多观察人士认为,选民疲劳以及将罢免视为近期选举失败者的“不甘示弱”策略,促成了这一结果。民进党反复使用的“反中国”叙事似乎也逐渐失效,一些选民甚至反讽地接受了“不纯”的标签以示抗议。 这一意外结果将加强国民党/台湾民众党(民众党)在立法机构中的联盟,预示着政治僵局将加剧。此外,幸存的立法委员现在在两年内不会受到罢免,这可能会为未来国民党主导的针对民进党成员的罢免行动打开大门。 失败的罢免行动凸显了日益加剧的政治极化以及对减少分裂性政治、关注治理而非持续竞选的渴望。

## 黑客新闻讨论摘要:台湾罢免尝试与政治极化 一篇最近的 *Taiplology* 文章,关于台湾的罢免尝试,在黑客新闻上引发了激烈的讨论,迅速演变成种族主义和地缘政治偏见的指责。文章本身关注的是失败的罢免立法者尝试,认为罢免应该解决真正危及公民的情况,而不仅仅是不利的选举结果。 评论者辩论了作者的观点和罢免努力背后的动机。一个关键的争论点在于对“中国人”一词的解读——它指的是中国政府还是台湾族裔,导致对批评作者的人的种族主义指责。另一些人认为,在讨论政治利益时,提及国籍是很常见的,特别是考虑到中国共产党(CCP)的参与。 进一步的讨论涉及台湾的政治格局、民进党的执政以及与中国统一的可能性。一些人认为民进党的政策正在将台湾推向武力统一,而另一些人则强调保持独特的台湾身份的重要性。对话还扩展到关于政治极化和立法机构中妥协挑战的更广泛的观察。
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原文

“Epic Recall, Epic Win!” (大罷免,大成功) was almost an inescapable battle cry for the last few months in Taiwan. Everywhere you went there were bright-eyed bushy-tailed young volunteers asking you if you’d like to recall your local KMT legislator to “protect Taiwan and Counter China” because “they’re all in cahoots with the CCP” and “we have to protect our democracy before its too late.”

Well today was Recall Election Day and to my HUGE surprise, not a single one of the 24 KMT legislators up for recall were successfully sniped. Not even Yeh Yuan Chih, Freshman KMT legislator from the super-green Banchiao district. His nickname became “soft persimmon” because it was known he was the low-hanging fruit when it comes to recalls. I think Yeh is even surprised Yeh made it, albeit with a slim margin.

There’s going to be another round of 7 KMT legislators up for recall on 8/23, but not only have the momentum gone out of the whole venture, it’s also exceedingly unlikely that they’ll convert at least six KMT legislators into DPP legislators in order for the DPP to flip the legislature.

I’ve actually tried to spend less of my one wild and precious life paying attention to the low-stakes yet bizarrely byzantine world of Taiwanese politics. So I’ll be lying if I said I’ve been tracking the polls or anything. But JUST ON VIBES I thought thought the recalls would snipe at least three or four KMT legislators. The bars are exceedingly low due to stupid procedural reasons and the recall groups have been exceedingly motivated and organized, as seen by the fact that they successfully collected enough petitions to recall a total of 31 KMT legislators while no DPP legislators’ recall efforts came up with enough valid signatures at the petition stage.

I really didn’t like these recalls. I called them the Sore Loser recalls because they’re all about the DPP trying to flip the legislature back to their control. In my mind, recalls are supposed to be reserved for serious malfeasance or incompetence. Not because you didn’t like the result of the election, which by the way was less than a year ago. I expected that most people didn’t like them either for that reason. Can’t Taiwan have just one year free of elections? We have local elections again next year. People are tired.

“Through the process of elections and recall elections, ballot by ballot, we will remove the impurities like forging iron into steel, and this is how we will defend our country…” was what President Lai Ching-te said ahead of the recalls, displaying a dismaying misunderstanding of basic metallurgy. You have to ADD stuff to iron to make steel, not just remove impurities. It is an alloy.

A lot of people were pissed off by that remark, and I don’t think it was because of the scientific incorrectness. At a Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) anti-recall rally I went to, a bunch of people were wearing T-shirts with the slogan “I am the impurity.”

In general, I think people got very sick and tired of the DPP playing the China card over and over again. I think they’ve been running on “Countering China and Protecting Taiwan” for as many cycles as I can remember now, while smearing everyone who doesn’t support them as commie-sympathizers.

“We are the impurities aren’t we?” The host asked the crowd at the rally. The crowd roared Yes.

“We are the commie sympathizers aren’t we?” The crowd roared Yes again.

Wait…are we? There’s some irony here, but also some negative polarization.

I should explain that the TPP is Taiwan’s Third Party and traditionally prides itself on being neither “blue” nor “green.” The party has always been dominated by young people dissatisfied with how cross-straits issues overwhelms everything else in Taiwan.

People generally think of the TPP as less anti-China than the DPP and less pro-China than the KMT. But I think that’s changing as the DPP is pushing them together as a block with the KMT. Exactly zero TPP legislators (although one mayor) is in the recall but everybody showed up passionately to be a good ally to the counter-recall efforts.

I wouldn’t be surprised if TPP solidarity was a key factor in how the KMT legislators prevailed today.

I feel like if the DPP didn’t like dealing with the KMT/TPP alliance in the legislature before, they are going to find them an absolute menace now. Let’s face it. When you tried to take your political enemies down by rather underhanded procedural means with a liberal helping of partisan smears, you can’t expect them to be NICER to you upon returning.

Also, all the legislators who survived their recalls are now ineligible to be recalled for the next two years, setting up the delicious possibility that should the KMT get their organizational game tight next year or the year after, they can try for mass recalls of the DPP while their own legislators are completely invulnerable. (For the sake of all of our sanities, I hope this does not happen but it’s funny to think about.)

So…expect more legislative gridlock and maybe a melee or two. I’m really glad Legislator “Soft Persimmon” Yeh made it. He can try and redeem himself from the time he was absolutely manhandled by Legislator Lai Hui-Yuan of the DPP.

You know what would make the people happy? If they just got to governing instead of grandstanding and brawling and actually tried to form a consensus instead of shouting each other down and trying to achieve absolute power. I mean, isn’t that what democracy is supposed to be about?

Instead, you have DPP-supporters muttering darkly about there are more traitors in Taiwan than they thought and they might have to immigrate somewhere else with tears in their eyes etc etc. Dude. This is how democracy works. Suck it up and please don’t go Yoon Suk Yeol on us.

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