2.5万美元的汽车要绝种了?
The $25k car is going extinct?

原始链接: https://media.hubspot.com/why-the-25000-car-is-going-extinct

经济实惠的新车越来越稀缺,自2019年以来,2.5万美元以下的销售额份额急剧下降。这不仅仅是通货膨胀;廉价品牌的价格涨幅过高,而奢侈品牌的涨幅较小,甚至考虑到通货膨胀。 由于利润率更高,汽车制造商更青睐价格更高的汽车,因为工程和材料等固定成本在预算和豪华车型上都是相似的。尤其是美国品牌,在很大程度上已经放弃了预算部分。这导致许多负担得起的车型停产,并允许汽车制造商提高剩余预算选项的价格。 经销商还通过库存更昂贵的车型和更高的装饰水平做出了贡献。然而,消费者对先进信息娱乐系统等功能的需求也推动了汽车价格上涨的趋势。 最近,对日产Sentra等更实惠汽车的需求增加,促使一些汽车制造商重新评估他们对高端车型的关注。尽管如此,Edmunds表示,即使是经济型汽车现在也是一种奢侈品。

Hacker News的一条帖子讨论了hubspot.com上的一篇文章,该文章声称价值2.5万美元的汽车正在灭绝。评论者对此表示赞同,并对汽车价格上涨和汽车债务正常化表示遗憾。一些人指出,制造商的利润率倾向于昂贵的车型和消费者的永久汽车支付习惯是促成因素。其他人提到,汽车是现代文化中财富和声望的反映。一些人指出,中国汽车公司以更低的价格生产出了一款伟大的产品。该主题还考虑了租赁的兴起以及租赁车队未来的潜在主导地位。虽然一些人支持为工作需要购买更昂贵的卡车,但总体情绪是,负担得起的汽车正在消失,部分原因是制造商、银行和美国政府的规定,以及普通消费者陷入债务。
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原文

 

Can’t find an affordable car anywhere? You’re not the only one.

 


BY MARK DENT

 

In late 2021, Ford released the Maverick, a compact pickup truck. At roughly half the cost and half the weight of the popular F-150, it was meant to be an antidote for excess, and it worked.

 

With a manufacturer’s suggested retail price (MSRP) of $19,995 for the base level, the Maverick drew rave reviews from critics and a rush of interest from consumers who wanted a nice pickup without having to splurge (and who never hauled anything, like pretty much every truck buyer).

 

The truck, however, was so popular that dealers sold them, on average, at ~25% above MSRP during the first few months after its release, leading Consumer Reports to name the Maverick as one of the worst deals for a new car. Since then, Ford has consistently hiked the retail price for new models of the Maverick: The 2025 base version retails for $28,145 — a 41% price hike from just four years ago.

 

The Maverick is one example of a contradiction that’s become common in the auto industry: Cheap new vehicles, the type of entry-level car favored by young buyers and many in the middle class, have become vanishingly rare, allowing automakers to hike prices on the scarce number that remain.


In February 2025, the share of overall new auto sales under $25k was 4.8%, according to the automotive pricing source Edmunds, down from 23% during the same month in 2019.

The Hustle

 

And this isn’t just a case of inflation affecting the entire vehicle market: 

  • Kelley Blue Book pricing data across vehicle brands shared with The Hustle reveals that many brands associated with budget-friendly vehicles — such as Hyundai, Dodge, Toyota, and Kia — saw price increases well above the industry average from March 2019 to March 2025.
  • The same data indicates many luxury brands — Audi, Jaguar, Porsche — saw some of the smallest increases. The average prices for those brands are now lower than in 2019, accounting for inflation.

Similarly, vehicle classes most associated with thrift, such as compact cars, subcompact cars, minivans, and mid-size cars, have all exceeded inflation in the same timeframe.

 

So, given the popularity of models like the Maverick, why have cheap vehicles gone nearly extinct?

 

Higher margins on similar costs

 

Back in the early 20th century, affordable cars were key to the widespread adoption of the automobile. But in modern times they’ve been a drag for automakers for a simple reason: nice, expensive vehicles carry higher profit margins.

The Hustle

 

Whether a manufacturer is producing an affordable midsize or compact car or a luxury car geared toward high-income earners, many of the fixed costs are the same, says Christian Seabaugh, a features editor for Motor Trend who’s written about cheap cars:

  • Engineering, design, and marketing
  • Emissions and crash standards
  • Materials such as steel, which are bought in bulk and typically used across the entire line of an automakers’ fleet.

There are some variations in costs between lower-end and higher-end vehicles. Larger models require more materials, and luxury models might be designed and engineered by higher-paid employees or feature higher-performing engines, driving up the cost.

 

American brands were bleeding market share for many years in budget-friendly, smaller vehicles and have, more or less, decided to give up on the segment, Seabaugh says.

 

“For them, it’s just not worth it,” he says.

The Ford Maverick was so popular in early 2022 that Ford stopped taking orders and dealers raised prices ~25%. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

 

Profit margins on specific vehicles are a well-kept secret in the industry. But the difference between Ford’s high-end and low-end truck models, for instance, illustrates why focusing on expensive vehicles with lower volume makes more sense than the opposite.

  • Analysts have estimated margins on the Ford F-150 to be ~20% per vehicle and that F-150s account for 90% of Ford’s total profits.
  • The Maverick came with a “tiny” profit margin, wrote Auto Wire’s Steven Symes, discouraging Ford and its dealers from supplying it.

Given these economics, automakers have ditched many once-affordable models that were available in the US just a few years ago:

  • Chevy Spark
  • Dodge Dart
  • Ford Fiesta
  • Ford Focus
  • Honda Fit
  • Hyundai Accent
  • Mitsubishi Mirage
  • Nissan Versa Note

The Hustle

 

With fewer budget-friendly vehicles on the market, automakers that still offer them have taken advantage of the low supply by raising prices — as evidenced by the above-average price increases across the vehicle lineups of Hyundai, Kia, and Toyota.

 

“By having fewer options you’re killing the ability for customers to make a deal,” said Ivan Drury, director of insights at Edmunds. “Customers are now at the whims of whatever is left in the market.”

 

And in the US, customers are also at the whims of another variable: the dealer.

 

The chicken or the egg, aka the consumer or the dealer

 

In European countries, it’s common for customers to pre-order cars to their exact specifications before buying them. But in the US, just ~20% of buyers pre-order new cars. The vast majority visit a dealership and select from whatever’s available.

 

Given this preference, dealers can stock up on expensive models while keeping a low supply of cheaper models, as with the Maverick. They can also prioritize selling cars with higher trim levels — more elaborate features — that cost thousands more than a base trim and carry higher margins.

The Hustle

 

Seabaugh says dealers have long preferred to stock pricier vehicles and vehicles with higher trims. During the supply shortages of Covid, however, they took it to another level, as both dealers and manufacturers wanted to focus on vehicles with the highest margins as they tried to overcome lower inventories.

 

But, Drury notes, the proliferation of expensive models and higher trims can’t all be pinned on dealers and automakers. He says car buyers have become accustomed to features like complex infotainment systems, cameras, and heated seats and want to trade up for increasingly luxurious settings when they buy new cars.

 

In 2021, Ford couldn’t keep up with the demand for fancy versions of the Explorer SUV, releasing new higher-trim versions in the middle of the year. For 2025, Honda eliminated its lowest trim of the Odyssey minivan.

 

“When people keep buying, that's the chicken and the egg, right?” says Drury. “Do I blame the automaker? No. Do I blame the dealer? I can't blame them either. Do I blame the customer? No, because they want these things.”

A Ford F-150 on the assembly line in Dearborn, Michigan. (Bill Pugliano/Getty Images)

 

Recent trends, however, suggest the tide may be turning.

 

As economic uncertainty lingered, consumers bought more affordable models last year, with the Nissan Sentra seeing a 40% YoY increase in purchases, prompting some automakers to realize they couldn’t focus purely on high-end, high-margin vehicles. Ford has even increased production of a lower-trim version of the F-150.

 

Still, a bargain in the car market isn’t what it used to be. As Drury puts it, “every new car is a luxury purchase.”

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