匈牙利奥尔班洞穴事件后,美国赞扬乌克兰加入欧盟的“历史性”谈判
US Hails 'Historic' EU Membership Talks For Ukraine After Hungary's Orban Caves

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-hails-historic-eu-membership-talks-ukraine-after-hungarys-orban-caves

拜登政府和一些欧洲国家对近期欧盟将与乌克兰展开入盟谈判的消息表示欢迎,因为乌克兰正在努力加入北约并实现与西方建立更密切关系的愿望。 虽然总统弗拉基米尔·泽伦斯基将这一决定描述为“乌克兰和整个欧洲的胜利”,但分析人士预测,实现欧盟正式成员资格可能需要数年甚至数十年的时间,尽管基辅在与乌克兰持续的战争期间进行了两年的不懈游说。 俄罗斯。 相比之下,摩尔多瓦等其他东欧国家同时获得了入盟谈判的许可。 此前不久,泽连斯基访问华盛顿,试图向国会施压,支持美国总统拜登提议的额外 1060 亿美元国防开支。 值得注意的是,尽管前保守党领袖唐纳德·图斯克最初表示同意,但以总理维克托·欧尔班为首的欧盟成员国匈牙利本周早些时候威胁要否决,坚称如果与乌克兰开始入盟谈判,欧盟将犯下“可怕的错误”。 在呼吁提高新解冻的 100 亿欧元(106 亿美元)资金使用透明度的同时,欧盟委员会声称,预算限制需要在地缘政治利益和对个别国家的财政义务之间进行权衡。 尽管一些成员称赞这一决定是“在这种特殊情况下可能出现的最佳结果”,但其他成员批评布达佩斯明显试图通过让步来换取谈判取得进展。 一些人对潜在延误的影响表示担忧,警告说任何拖延的入盟进程都会让独裁政权在受影响领土上有更大的政治变革空间,从而可能导致东欧的不稳定。

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原文

The White House has welcomed a "historic" move by the EU to initiate membership talks with Ukraine. For Kiev, this is a major breakthrough which it has been lobbying hard for throughout nearly two years of the Russian invasion, which has served to fast-track something previously only thought impossible, given that Ukraine remains ranked among the top most corrupt countries in Europe and the world.

"We welcome the EU's historic decision to open accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova, a crucial step toward fulfilling their Euro-Atlantic aspirations," National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan announced on X Thursday, within hours after European Union leaders officially agreed to open up formal accession talks. The decision marks a huge reversal which came during a Brussels summit of the EU's 27 leaders. European Council President Charles Michel called it "a clear signal of hope for their people and our continent" during a press briefing. 

European Council President Charles Michel briefing the press in Brussels on Thursday, via the AP.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky welcomed the development as "a victory for Ukraine. A victory for all of Europe"however, most observers say that it will likely be years down the road, or even possibly decades, before Ukraine reaches its goal of full EU membership. 

It follows closely on the heels of the Ukrainian president's somewhat lackluster trip to Washington where he met with Biden and Congressional leaders, but failed to successfully lobby GOP holdouts to swiftly pass Biden's requested $106 billion defense aid package. "History is made by those who don't get tired of fighting for freedom," Zelensky said of the EU breakthrough. Kiev is against the ropes militarily, but this serves as a major consolation prize at the difficult moment.

Importantly, EU accession talks have at the same time been opened for the tiny eastern European state of Moldova, which Western leaders have also warned is in Moscow's crosshairs for political change.

Donald Tusk has just returned to the prime minister’s office in Poland, rolling back years of Polish conservative rule, and in his first European Council summit since said: "Dear Volodymyr Zelenskyy, we did it! I dedicate our today’s decision on enlargement to your heroes who gave their lives for an independent and European Ukraine."

But it was Hungary's Viktor Orbán who entered the proceeding as a 'pariah' figure - having long vowed to block Ukraine's EU aspirations. Going into the summit, his office had said firmly: "The European Union is about to make a terrible mistake and they must be stopped — even if 26 of them want to do it, and we are the only ones against it." He emphasized, "This is a mistake, we are destroying the European Union."

But apparently at the end of the day Hungary used this leverage to get what it wants out of EU leaders. Orban's administration is vowing future roadblocks, BUT for now:

Meanwhile, in a move critics have described as a bribe, the European Commission unfroze around 10 billion euros earmarked for Hungary, arguing that the country successfully completed judicial reforms.

So in the end a pragmatic Eurocratic quid pro quo won out, amid apprehension that Hungary's veto would dominate the whole proceedings. Instead, with the 10 billion euros secured, the Hungarian delegation with Orban at the helm simply walked out of the summit, having abstained from the vote. 

Still, there are critics, and a continued fight is basically guaranteed on the long haul path forward...

Here's how Orban's office explained the move in a lengthy social media statement in Hungarian and English

In the last few hours in Brussels, the European Council has deliberated on Ukraine's accession. Hungary's stance remains firm and unaltered: we do not consider Ukraine ready for EU negotiations. Consequently we oppose commencing negotiations.

However, 26 EU Member States hold a contrary view. Following extensive negotiations, Hungary opted to exit the meeting room and abstain from the vote—not to obstruct the outcome but to avoid cooperating in what we perceive as a misguided decision.

The European Council's agreement represents a decision in principle. Subsequently, Member States must also unanimously agree on the specific negotiating framework. Additionally, a minimum of 70 unanimous decisions will be required throughout the upcoming years to endorse Ukraine's accession to the EU.

Pro-EU members are hailing Orban's having 'backed down' or essentially caved from his months-long hardline stance of resistance, with MEP Philippe Lamberts, co-president of the Greens group in the European parliament, stating as follows: "EU leaders have avoided the worst possible outcome and managed to show support to Ukraine by opening accession talks."

He then emphasized: "Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán has backed down from his threats of a veto over Ukraine. However, if this is the result of a €10bn bribe then this is an unacceptable way for the EU to do business."

Perhaps Orban knows his objection in the long-run may not even matter, considering Ukraine's ongoing corruption - no doubt exacerbated by a wartime situation and economy - ultimately means than immense hurdles remain, possibly requiring up to decades of reform...

The coming months will be interesting as Hungary attempts to 'prove' to its people and conservative leaders and right wing supporters abroad that it's still in for the fight.

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