白宫担心伊朗对袭击的回应可能会压垮以色列的防空系统。
White House Fears Iranian Response To An Attack Could Overwhelm Israel's Air Defenses

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/white-house-fears-iranian-response-attack-could-overwhelm-israeli-air-defense

伊朗和以色列之间的紧张局势正在升级,军事冲突的可能性正在增加。特朗普总统暗示以色列袭击伊朗核设施“很可能会发生”,促使伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队宣布已准备好应对任何情况。 一位白宫特使警告参议院共和党议员,以色列的袭击可能会引发伊朗压倒性的导弹反击,可能导致以色列大量人员伤亡。据报道,鉴于伊朗不断增长的弹道导弹库,美国担心以色列能否防御这种袭击。 虽然大使馆正在撤离人员,但目前尚不清楚这是对冲突的认真准备,还是一种施压策略。特朗普前后矛盾的言论,既强调了危险性,又暗示了与伊朗达成协议的可能性,进一步使局势复杂化。尽管存在风险,但报道指出,任何以色列对伊朗的军事行动都将不会得到美国的军事援助。与此同时,如果发生更大范围的冲突,人们越来越担心驻扎在该地区的美军人员的安全。

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原文

Iran's military says it's ready for anything at a moment President Trump has reiterated that an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear sites could be imminent. Such a strike "could very well happen," the president said Thursday.

But..."We are ready for any scenario and have a military strategy," commander-in-chief of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Hossein Salami responded in speech on state TV.

Also, White House envoy Steve Witkoff has privately warned top Senate Republicans that Iran's retaliation to an Israeli strike on its nuclear program "could overwhelm Israel's defenses and cause mass damage and casualties," Axios reports.

Trump has said that while something 'dangerous' could happen 'soon' in the Middle East, the US remains "fairly close to an agreement with Iran" - thus this latest messaging is somewhat contradictory

Is all of the embassy drawdown reporting merely a ploy? CNN and others have been emphasizing all day that staff draw downs from American embassies in Iraq, Kuwait, and Bahrain are in preparation for something serious.

But it remains that this US State Dept 'order' could just be an extreme tactic to make Iran feel the pressure. According to more of the latest from Axios:

  • Witkoff told the Senators that military strikes by Israel are on the table if no agreement is reached.
  • He then brought up Iran's ballistic missile capabilities. The U.S. is concerned Israel's air defenses would not be able to handle an Iranian response involving hundreds of missiles, the sources said.
  • Such an attack, Witkoff told the group, could cause massive casualties and damage.
  • Witkoff also raised concerns about Iran's ballistic missile arsenal during a speech in New York on Wednesday, calling it "as big of an existential threat" for Israel as Iran's nuclear capabilities.

Among the worries is that Iran's defense ministry is currently touting the rollout of a new ballistic missile with a 4,000-lb. warhead.

Aside from the damage this could do to Israel, there's also the question of US military personnel stationed in the region. Has the Pentagon taken steps to protect these locations?

Meanwhile, below is Netanyahu's Iran nuclear bomb claim timeline: 1992-present, @IsraeliLobby/X:

If the US truly believes an Israeli attack on Iran is imminent, we would probably see more urgent repositioning of US troops in the region - but so far there have been scant indicators of this. Prominent Pentagon correspondents have not obtained any statements or issued evidence of force protection or relocation measures. However, military dependents in some regions are being evacuated

Potentially in harm's way if a broader Iran-Israel war breaks out...

According to NBC News late in the day Thursday, "If Israel carries out any operation against Iran, it will be carried out without any US military assistance."

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