民主党正在走向自我毁灭,情况比我们想象的还要糟糕。
The Democratic Party's Death Spiral Is Even Worse Than We Thought

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/democratic-partys-death-spiral-even-worse-we-thought

pjmedia.com的马特·马戈利斯认为,根据《纽约时报》的分析显示,全美各县对共和党的支持显著增加,民主党正面临着“生存危机”。分析表明,在三次选举中,特朗普增加了1433个县的共和党选票份额,而民主党只增加了57个县的选票份额。在2024年大选中,转向共和党的县是转向民主党的六倍。马戈利斯将这种转变归因于民主党成为“沿海精英”的政党,而特朗普则建立了一个由工薪阶层选民组成的联盟。他强调,即使在纽约市等民主党票仓,各县也正转向共和党,这是由特朗普的号召力驱动的。马戈利斯总结说,民主党的传统策略正在失败,只有共和党的自满情绪才能破坏特朗普“让美国再次伟大”联盟的势头。


原文

Authored by Matt Margolis via PJMedia.com,

Make no mistake about it: The Democratic Party is facing an existential crisis that even their media allies can't spin anymore. The New York Times, the crown jewel of the liberal media establishment, just published a devastating analysis showing how the Democrats' supposed stronghold on American politics has crumbled under the MAGA movement.

While Democrats continue their tired routine of Trump-bashing and pretending to care about working Americans, the numbers tell a completely different story. The Times' analysis reveals a political earthquake that's reshaping the electoral landscape, and it's not in the Democrats' favor.

“All told, Mr. Trump has increased the Republican Party's share of the presidential vote in each election he's been on the ballot in close to half the counties in America — 1,433 in all,” the paper writes

“It is a staggering political achievement, especially considering that Mr. Trump was defeated in the second of those three races, in 2020. By contrast, Democrats have steadily expanded their vote share in those three elections in only 57 of the nation’s 3,100-plus counties.”

In the 2024 election, six times as many counties shifted toward the GOP as toward the Democrats. 

While 435 counties trended more Democratic compared to 2012, 2,678 moved more Republican—by an even larger average margin of 13.3 points versus 8.8 for Democrats.

That's not just a loss; that's a political bloodbath.

The Democrats' problem? 

They're increasingly becoming the party of coastal elites and college-educated snobs. 

Meanwhile, Trump has built an unstoppable coalition that includes working-class voters across all racial and ethnic backgrounds. 

The New York Times didn’t sugarcoat the situation for the Democrats.

Counties that have become steadily more Republican exist in some of the country’s bluest strongholds, including New York City, Philadelphia and Honolulu. Mr. Trump’s party is still losing in those places, but by significantly less. At the same time, Mr. Trump has driven Republican margins to dizzying new heights in the nation’s reddest bastions.

In New York, 43 out of 62 counties shifted at least 10 points more Republican in 2024 compared to 2012, cutting the statewide Democratic margin in half. The only county to consistently trend Democratic was ultra-progressive Tompkins County, home to Ithaca. Meanwhile, even deep-blue and diverse areas like the Bronx, Queens, and Brooklyn have trended Republican in multiple elections, alongside rural upstate counties like St. Lawrence and Lewis.

“We could be entering a world where the greatest predictor of voting behavior is no longer race,” Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-N.Y.) told the New York Times.

“Donald Trump’s greatest achievement — his greatest electoral achievement — lies not in breaking the blue wall in the industrial Midwest, but in beginning to break the blue walls in states like New York, and in counties like the Bronx.”

The Democrats' old playbook is dead, and they know it. 

Their own pollster Ben Tulchin admitted "the math doesn't work" anymore. 

While they're stuck pandering to wealthy urbanites and pushing radical policies that normal Americans reject, Trump's MAGA coalition keeps growing stronger.

The only thing that could derail this momentum is if Republicans get complacent or drop the ball. 

I hope they don’t.

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