我对《电力故障:美国最伟大公司的垮台》的评论
Power Failure: The downfall of General Electric

原始链接: https://www.gwintrob.com/power-failure-review/

威廉·科汉的《权力失效》(Power Failure)剖析了通用电气(GE)——曾是美国最有价值公司——的戏剧性崩溃,将其描绘成一部关于企业文化和美国资本主义的莎士比亚式悲剧。本书追溯了GE从爱迪生的发明到在杰克·韦尔奇领导下转变为金融巨头,再到在杰夫·伊梅尔特领导下遭遇毁灭性衰落的历程。 科汉强调了“帝王式CEO”崇拜的危险性,GE资本失控带来的金融化的危害,以及通过激进的会计手段优先“达成业绩目标”的腐蚀性影响。书中还强调了管理一家规模过于庞大、过于复杂的公司的挑战,这导致了430亿美元的会计“黑洞”,并最终导致了公司的拆分。 除了财务数据,《权力失效》还详细描述了其造成的人力成本:失业、养老金被削减以及支离破碎的社区。这段传奇故事为当今的科技巨头敲响了警钟,提出了关于公司治理、不受约束的CEO权力以及在快速变化的世界中金融工程的局限性等重要问题。GE的解体标志着一个时代的结束,它严厉地提醒我们,即使是最具标志性的公司也无法避免傲慢和误判。

Hacker News 上正在讨论《权力失效:通用电气的衰落》(Power Failure: The downfall of General Electric)一书,重点关注该书对通用电气衰败的探讨。评论者们强调了这场衰落造成的人员损失,包括工人、养老金领取者和股东,而那些早期获利的人早已离开。一些人质疑公司养老金制度的合理性。 讨论涉及到通用电气被列入《基业长青》(Built to Last)一书,以及动态资本市场允许即使是大型公司也能发展的必要性。一些人指出转向融资和通用电气金融(GE Capital)是一个关键错误。关于通用电气是否“创造”了喷气发动机存在争议,并且有人推荐了一些关于通用电气历史和公司文化的相关书籍。 文章采用项目符号和“关键引言”的结构,引发了人们对人工智能参与的猜测。作者承认使用了人工智能来改进写作,从而引发了关于人工智能对写作风格的影响以及潜在的同质化问题的讨论。

原文

Founded by Edison to bring electric light to the world, General Electric became America's most valuable company by 2001 before losing 90% of its value in one of corporate history's greatest collapses.

William Cohan's Power Failure transforms this collapse into a Shakespearean tragedy about corporate culture and American capitalism. From Edison's first light bulbs to Jeff Immelt's desperate final days, Cohan shows how the company that literally illuminated America became "a huge unregulated bank with a light-bulb logo."

The result is equal parts invention history, boardroom knife-fight, and forensic accounting thriller. Here are my favorite ideas of this 700-page tome.


1. The Cult of the Imperial CEO

GE didn't just have CEOs; it had demigods. The company ran on blind faith that the right leader could bend markets and reality itself.

The mythology started with Edison but peaked with Jack Welch, who ruled for 20 years like a corporate Caesar. When Welch chose Jeff Immelt as his successor in 2001, he literally wept at his retirement party—not from sentiment, but from doubt about his successor. Years later, dying of renal failure, Welch sobbed to Cohan: "I fucked up. And I don't know why."

The succession battles were blood sport. When Steve Bolze tried to position himself as Immelt's heir, board members invoked Emerson: "When you strike at a king, you must kill him." He didn't, and was gone within months. The board itself cowered before these imperial CEOs.

Key Quotes

  • "This was American capitalism. GE was America."
  • "Jeff has the unfortunate task of following a legend. It's like being a baseball player and following Babe Ruth." - Jack Welch, 2001
  • "I haven't had a bad day in 20 years." - Welch, whose actual days included criminal price-fixing trials and a record EPA Superfund cleanup

2. The Devil's Bargain of Financialization

Another gripping part of Cohan's narrative is watching GE transform from making innovative, physical goods to a high-flying hedge fund.

Under Welch, GE Capital went from financing refrigerator sales to becoming one of America's largest financial institutions. By 2007, it had $600 billion in assets, was America's biggest issuer of commercial paper, and needed to roll over $90 billion every 90 days just to stay alive. It owned radio stations in Sweden, real estate in Japan, and a massive number subprime mortgages.

This worked spectacularly for decades. GE could raise cheap short-term debt because of its triple-A rating. It would borrow this money to make higher-interest long-term loans and called it "industrial earnings." Wall Street loved it because GE could always find an extra penny of earnings by selling some financial asset at quarter's end.

Then the Global Financial Crisis hit in 2008 and the commercial paper market froze. GE was 48 hours from bankruptcy. Only Warren Buffett's $3 billion injection and an FDIC guarantee saved them. The "House of Magic" was revealed as a house of cards.

Key Quotes

  • "If you have cash, you own the world." - Welch justifying the RCA acquisition
  • "GE resembled the failed conglomerates of yesteryear—Gulf + Western with better PR." - Bill Gross
  • "We are going to be the Walmart of financial services." - Gary Wendt, GE Capital CEO (Walmart never needed FDIC backing)

3. How "Making Your Numbers" Became a Religion

Perhaps no section of the book is more damning than a forensic examination of GE's accounting. For 80 straight quarters GE met or beat earnings estimates. Cohan covers the methods that GE developed over 20 years:

  • Cookie Jar Reserves: Overstate costs when acquiring companies, then "release" the excess later as profit
  • Gain on Sale Accounting: Sell a power plant to a customer, book future service contracts as immediate profit
  • The Insurance Time Bomb: Underpricing long-term care insurance in the 1990s created a $15 billion hole that exploded in 2017
  • Immelt's "13 Cents": The infamous quarter where GE reported exactly 13 cents per share—what analysts expected—despite massive business headwinds. The SEC later found problems

By 2018, new CEO John Flannery discovered a $43 billion "hole" in the company's accounts. Decades of aggressive accounting compounded into a disaster.

Key Quotes

  • "Deliver the earnings you promised, every time. No matter what."
  • "Success theater was a key reason why expectations never reset." - Bernstein Research
  • "We bent the accounting rules like a pretzel." - Former GE executive

4. Too Big to Manage, Too Proud to Fail

By 2017, GE made everything from MRI machines to wind turbines, owned media companies and oil services firms, financed Thai auto loans and American credit cards. The company operated across 180 countries and its annual report was 246 pages long. Its own board members admitted they couldn't understand it.

The complexity let management hide problems in one division with profits from another. It made the company impossible for outsiders to analyze. As one director told Cohan: "You're looking at eighteen businesses. If three are terrible and three are great, you can make the numbers work."

But complexity has a cost when multiple things collapse at once. The power business cratered in 2017 and the insurance liabilities exploded and oil prices collapsed. CEO John Flannery launched "Project Eisenhower," a secret plan to break up the company. His successor, Larry Culp, made it official: After 126 years, the conglomerate would split into three.


5. The Human Wreckage

The book's shows the human cost of corporate mythology. For example:

  • 300,000 jobs eliminated over two decades
  • Retirees who worked 40 years saw pensions cut and healthcare eliminated
  • Entire cities hollowed out like Schenectady, Louisville, and Fort Wayne
  • Investors lost $500 billion. This included everyone from pension funds to small shareholders who believed in the GE myth
  • The executives themselves: Immelt aged 20 years in his last five. Flannery lasted 14 months. Board members faced lawsuits and public humiliation.

The final irony? The same GE labs that created the jet engine, the MRI, and LED lighting still exist. In 2024, they're developing hydrogen-powered aircraft engines and 3D-printing technology that would have amazed Edison. But the conglomerate that funded them is gone.


Why This Matters Now

Power Failure isn't just history. Today's tech giants are more valuable than GE ever was. They're more complex, more financialized, and their CEOs wield immense power.

The questions Cohan raises haunt every investor call:

  • Can a company be "too big to manage"?
  • When does financial engineering cross the line from clever to catastrophic?
  • How much complexity can boards actually govern?
  • What happens when the myth of the imperial CEO meets the reality of technological disruption?

As activist investor Ed Garden told GE's board: "This is the biggest failure of corporate governance in corporate history." He was talking about GE but you could imagine it applying to today's corporate tech giants if they're unable to adapt to AI, tariffs, and geopolitical uncertainty.

The book's final image is perfect. At Jack Welch's 2020 funeral, held at St. Patrick's Cathedral just before COVID shut down the world, the Old Guard of American capitalism gathered one last time. "It was the end of the 'baronial' era," Cohan writes, "both for GE and for the country itself."

Edison's light is still on. But the house he built has been sold for scrap.

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