特朗普在周末贸易谈判前表示“对中国征收80%的关税似乎是正确的”
Trump Says "80% Tariffs On China Seems Right" Ahead Of Weekend Trade Talks

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-poised-drastically-cut-china-tariffs-soon-next-week-nypost-reports

特朗普在其社交媒体平台Truth Social上建议对中国商品征收80%的关税,并补充说最终决定权在财政部长斯科特·贝森特手中,尽管有报道称可能大幅降低关税。此前,《纽约邮报》报道称,美国政府正在考虑将对中国进口商品的关税从145%下调至50%-54%,并将对其他南亚国家的关税下调至25%,以鼓励正在进行的谈判。特朗普还呼吁中国向美国开放市场。 市场最初反应为标普500期货下跌,但随后部分跌幅收复。贝森特和美国贸易代表杰米森·格里尔正在瑞士与中国副总理何立峰举行贸易谈判。观察人士将此与最近达成的美英贸易协定进行了比较,预计可能会大幅降低关税并扩大市场准入。高盛预测贸易战可能已“见顶”,预计美国和中国都将大幅下调关税。业内人士也预计关税将进行调整。


原文

Update (0745ET):

President Trump posted on Truth Social, "80% Tariff on China seems right!" while noting that the final decision rests with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

The comment lends credibility to an earlier New York Post report suggesting the administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to a significantly lower baseline.

Trump also said: 

"CHINA SHOULD OPEN UP ITS MARKET TO USA — WOULD BE SO GOOD FOR THEM!!! CLOSED MARKETS DON'T WORK ANYMORE!!!"

In markets, S&P 500 futures puked, then recovered some losses. Most of the overnight gains have been erased. 

Perhaps traders were expecting a higher percentage of tariffs to be removed ahead of Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer's meeting on Saturday with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland.

 

*   *   * 

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and his Chinese counterpart are set to begin the first round of trade talks in Switzerland on Saturday. Traders and analysts are looking to yesterday's "breakthrough" U.S.-U.K. trade deal as a potential preview of what may be announced over the weekend or early next week—possibly signaling a peak in the ongoing trade war.

According to a source familiar with the discussions, the New York Post reports that the Trump administration is weighing a plan to slash tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to between 50% and 54%. The same source said levies on neighboring South Asian countries would also be reduced to 25%.

"They are going to be bringing it down to 50% while the negotiations are ongoing," the source said, referring to tariffs on China. 

Here's more color from NYPost:

Insiders said the 50%-to-54% range — down from the triple-digit level that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said this week "isn't sustainable" this week — is in keeping with rates that were discussed last month when President Trump met with the bosses of the three biggest retailers in the U.S.

Market participants are considering Thursday's U.S.-U.K. trade framework as a potential preview of what to expect in upcoming trade announcements—not just with China but with dozens of other countries. The deal hints at broad tariff reductions and expanded market access for American exports, particularly in agriculture, energy, and industrial goods. However, as with the U.K. framework, a baseline 10% tariff appears likely to remain in place.

Last week, Goldman offered some good news: peak trade war.

Earlier this week, Goldman chief economist Jan Hatzius told clients, "The mood music with China has improved, and we expect the U.S. tariff rate on China to drop from around 160% to around 60% relatively soon. (China is likely to reduce tariffs on the U.S. by a similar amount.)"

Plus, the Milken Institute Global Conference attendees in Beverly Hills on Monday "warmed up" to the tariff environment. 

Jay Foreman, CEO of Basic Fun—which manufactures retro toys like Tonka Trucks, Care Bears, and My Little Pony in China—told NYPost that "there will be an adjustment" in tariff policy "by the end of this week or next," adding that it could begin a surge in orders from China.

"We are hearing China at 50% to 54% and [other] Asian countries at 25%," said Lawrence Rosen, chairman of New Jersey-based arts-and-crafts distributor Cra-Z-Art. 

During the US-UK trade deal, Trump told investors, "Better buy stocks now." 

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