西班牙和葡萄牙大停电:原因是什么?是网络攻击吗?
Spain and Portugal power outage: what caused it, and was there a cyber-attack?

原始链接: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/28/spain-and-portugal-power-outage-cause-cyber-attack-electricity

大范围停电袭击了西班牙、葡萄牙和法国西南部部分地区,马德里、巴塞罗那和里斯本等城市受到影响。事故原因仍在调查中,但初步报告指出,西班牙发生的“罕见大气现象”导致极端温度变化,引发了同步故障,并在欧洲互联电网上造成级联断电。虽然目前没有怀疑是网络攻击,但当局正在评估所有可能性。 此次事件凸显了电网平衡的挑战,这对于管理风能和太阳能等波动性可再生能源至关重要,而可再生能源去年占西班牙电力供应的56%。尽管西班牙的目标是成为绿色能源领导者,但整合间歇性可再生能源需要对电网进行重大升级并采用新的平衡技术。国际电网连接虽然对于共享清洁能源至关重要,但也可能迅速蔓延故障,尽管它们同时也能起到缓冲作用,防止事态升级。这次停电事件清楚地提醒了现代电网固有的复杂性和脆弱性。

Hacker News上关于西班牙和葡萄牙停电的讨论主要集中在停电原因上,用户们争论不休,是网络攻击还是级联故障。一些人驳斥了网络攻击的理论,指出巴利阿里群岛和加那利群岛不受影响。另一些人推测可再生能源,特别是太阳能,在电网不稳定中扮演的角色,认为可能存在供过于求和突然的频率下降。用户“giorgioz”分享了他亲身经历停电的详细经历,描述了利用Starlink和备用电源的资源应对方法。许多人还对政府的官方解释表示怀疑,并预料到可能出现将问题过度简化的政治叙事。

原文

Spain, Portugal and some of south-west France suffered a massive power cut on Monday, with major cities including Madrid, Barcelona and Lisbon among those affected.

Houses, offices, trains, traffic lights and even the Madrid open tennis tournament were all hit, causing chaos for millions of people and prompting a scramble by the Spanish and Portuguese governments and network operators to understand the problem and race to fix it.


What happened?

Red Eléctrica de España (REE), Spain’s electric network, said Spain and Portugal were hit by “el cero” – the zero. Its Portuguese counterpart, Redes Energéticas Nacionais (REN), said the outage started at 11:33am Western European summer time.

By mid-afternoon the Spanish operator, which is partly state-owned, said that it had started to recover voltage in the north, south and west of the Iberian peninsula. The recovery process could only be carried out gradually, to avoid overloading parts of the grid as each generator connects.

Endesa, Spain’s largest energy utility with 10 million customers, and Iberdrola, the second largest provider, said they were working with REE in accordance with established protocols.


What caused it?

The Portuguese prime minister, Luís Montenegro, said that the issue originated in Spain. Portugal’s REN said a “rare atmospheric phenomenon” had caused a severe imbalance in temperatures that led to the widespread shutdowns.

REN said: “Due to extreme temperature variations in the interior of Spain, there were anomalous oscillations in the very high voltage lines (400 kV), a phenomenon known as ‘induced atmospheric vibration’. These oscillations caused synchronisation failures between the electrical systems, leading to successive disturbances across the interconnected European network.”

The risks posed to electrical systems by big variations in atmospheric temperatures are well known in the industry, even if it is rare for problems to manifest on this scale.

“Due to the variation of the temperature, the parameters of the conductor change slightly,” said Taco Engelaar, managing director at Neara, a software provider to energy utilities. “It creates an imbalance in the frequency.”

Georg Zachmann, a senior fellow at Bruegel, a Brussels thinktank, said the system had suffered “cascading disconnections of power plants” – including one in France – when the frequency of the grid dropped below the European standard of 50Hz.


Could it have been it foul play?

The European Council president, António Costa, who was Portugal’s prime minister from 2015 to 2024, said “there is no evidence that it was a cyber-attack”, but cautioned that the ultimate cause was still unclear. Senior European Commission vice-president Teresa Ribera also told Spain’s Radio 5 that there was no evidence of a deliberate act having caused the outage.

However, Spain’s national security council was convened on Monday to assess the outage. Portugal’s prime minister said it was too early to say for sure what caused the blackout.


What is the role of renewables?

Iberdrola wind turbines. Spain has been a leader in renewable power generation. Photograph: Sergio Pérez/Reuters

Spain is on its way to being a green energy leader: it has abundant sun and wind. Last year was a record period for renewable power generation, which accounted for 56% of all electricity used. By 2030 that proportion will rise to 81%.

That shift will help Spain end its reliance on energy imports, but it also brings its own challenges. Every national grid in the world will need to spend heavily to upgrade distribution systems to connect scattered renewable generation and ensure it is balanced.


What is grid balancing?

The grid needs constant management to ensure it is not overloaded by too much generation, or left short by too little. Power stations will shut down automatically if the frequency breaks out of normal range. To restart they must then be reconnected to users.

Balancing has been important as long as there has been a grid, but there is more focus on the issue because of the rapid switch to renewables like solar and wind, which are intermittent.

Spinning gas turbines have been the standard technology for managing the frequency for decades, but renewables will need investment in other options such as flywheels or advanced power electronics.

“You cannot ignore it,” Zachmann said. “You need the tools to keep the system running.”


Did international connections cause problems?

Engelaar said such a widespread failure was “extremely unusual”. However, there have been previous examples. In 2003 a problem with a hydroelectric power line between Italy and Switzerland caused a huge outage across Italy for about 12 hours. A 2006 German power overload caused outages as far away as Portugal and Morocco.

“Interconnection between countries is vital for sharing clean energy, but it also creates new pathways for failure to spread quickly,” Engelaar said.

However, Bruegel’s Zachmann said that interconnections also help to prevent problems from getting worse. The interconnector with France will make it “much easier to bring the electricity system back”. “Yes, problems spill over but at the same time the larger system acts as a buffer and prevents the crisis escalating,” he said.

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com