锂电池崩盘加剧,电池金属较峰值下降 78% 
Lithium Crash Deepens With Battery Metal Now Down 78% From Peak 

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/lithium-crash-deepens-battery-metal-now-down-78-peak

过去一年,电池用锂成本大幅下降了78%。 这一下降可归因于高利率导致全球电动汽车采用放缓导致亚洲市场生产过剩。 据行业专家预测,全球锂市场至少要到2028年才能再次平衡。 由于亚洲锂需求下降和供应过剩导致电动汽车扩张计划减少等因素导致了供应过剩。 全球第二大锂生产商SQM指出,库存过剩导致锂成本下降。 不幸的是,成本下降与绿色能源泡沫的总体趋势相一致,例如公司放弃美国项目和太阳能股票价值下跌,这些因素加起来导致可再生能源投资大幅下降。

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原文

The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has crashed in the last 12 months. This downward pressure is attributed to oversupplied markets in Asia, primarily because the global adoption rate of electric vehicles has notably slowed amid high interest rates. 

Since November 2022, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate in China plunged from $84,500 per metric ton to $18,630, or about a 78% decline. 

According to forecasts from industry consultancy Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, the global lithium market won't rebalance and return to a deficit until 2028. 

General Motors, Honda, LG Energy Solution, and other auto and battery manufacturers have dialed back EV expansion plans in recent months, mainly because rising interest rates are curbing demand. This has created a global supply glut for the battery metal. 

BloombergNEF's Allan Ray Restauro said, "With lithium supply growing more next year, we are likely going to see prices falling further, adding, "On the demand side, some regional differences on EV sales have been dragging sentiment down around the industry."

The world's second-largest lithium producer, Chilean miner SQM, recently blamed the plunge in lithium prices on excess inventory, especially in Asia. 

Plunging prices come as the 'green' energy bubble is melting down, with the world's largest offshore wind farm developer, Orsted A/S, abandoning US projects, and solar stocks crashing on sliding demand. 

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