气象学家在活动平静后观察大西洋盆地新的“天气扰动区域” 
Meteorologists Watching New "Area Of Disturbed Weather" In Atlantic Basin After Lull In Activity 

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/weather/meteorologists-watching-new-area-disturbed-weather-atlantic-basin-after-lull-activity

在接下来的几周内,由于大西洋新出现的扰动,当前飓风季节的活动可能会增加。 预计这次扰动将在下周遭遇热带波。 根据国家飓风中心 (NHC) 的说法,该系统可能会发展成为热带低气压,未来几天内可能会出现在北背风群岛、大安的列斯群岛或西南大西洋。 目前估计其形成的可能性为 40%。 迈克的天气页面指出,直到接近岛屿时它才会开始形成。 与此同时,根据 Accuweather 的首席飓风专家 Alex DaSilva 的说法,随着八月的临近,我们预计会有更多的系统形成并转变为热带低气压、风暴,并最终转变为飓风。 因此,建议您谨慎考虑即将发生的变化,计划东部和墨西哥湾沿岸的夏季旅行。

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原文

July has been a super quiet month in what has been expected to be a very active hurricane season, but that could all soon change with a new disturbance developing in the Atlantic Basin. 

The National Hurricane Center reported a tropical development over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. It is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave early next week.

Here's more from NHC's latest report:

"Near the Leeward Islands and Greater Antilles: An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days. Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for some development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form around midweek while the system is near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or the southwestern Atlantic Ocean."

Formation odds:

"Overnight 00z ensembles here on weathernerds. GFS still only has a few. EURO more aggressive and more east. Nothing expected to form until near the islands. NHC remains at 40% chance," Mike's Weather Page wrote on X. 

AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva noted that the hurricane season will soon be entering the point where more "systems take hold and organize into tropical depressions, storms, and even hurricanes under the right conditions." 

July brought a lull in tropical development, which will likely change as August quickly approaches. Plan those East Coast and Gulf Coast trips accordingly.

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