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| Objectivism, like many philosophies or political beliefs, only works in an absolute vacuum.
Maybe the one person who survives the first trip to Mars can practice it. |
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| Objectivism: that fart-huffing philosophy that leads people to think everyone else is incompetent to judge it, when it's just a bunch of hateful trash that is to the right as Marxism is to the left. |
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| To a first approximation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZB7xEonjsc
Less funny in real life. Sometimes the jizzless thing falls off with impeccably bad timing. Right when things go boom. People get injured (no deaths yet). Limp home early. Allies let down. Shipping routes elongate by a sad multiple. And it even affects you directly as you pay extra for that Dragon silicon toy you ordered from China. |
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| > A "liberal democracy" where the head of state can have random citizens murdered?
Abdulrahman Anwar al-Awlaki (also spelled al-Aulaqi, Arabic: عبدالرحمن العولقي; August 26, 1995 – October 14, 2011) was a 16-year-old United States citizen who was killed by a U.S. drone strike in Yemen. The U.S. drone strike that killed Abdulrahman Anwar al-Awlaki was conducted under a policy approved by U.S. President Barack Obama Human rights groups questioned why Abdulrahman al-Awlaki was killed by the U.S. in a country with which the United States was not at war. Jameel Jaffer, deputy legal director of the American Civil Liberties Union, stated "If the government is going to be firing Predator missiles at American citizens, surely the American public has a right to know who's being targeted, and why." https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Abdulrahman_al-Aw... |
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| > Saying no isn't what ended his career.
Within NatSec, saying No to embarrassing the government is implied. Ceaselessly. Equally implied: The brutality of the consequences for not saying no. |
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The people who made the final decision were Jerald Mason (SVP), Robert Lund, Joe Kilminster and Calvin Wiggins (all VP's).See page 94 of the Rogers commission report[1]: "a final management review was conducted by Mason, Lund, Kilminster, and Wiggins". Page 108 has their full names as part of a timeline of events at NASA and Morton Thiokol. 1. https://sma.nasa.gov/SignificantIncidents/assets/rogers_comm... |
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| The "who" was William R. Lucas.
There was a recent Netflix documentary where they interviewed him. He was the NASA manager that made the final call. On video, he flatly stated that he would make the same decision again and had no regrets: https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/netflix-challenger-final-flig... I had never seen anyone who is more obviously a psychopath than this guy. You know that theory that people like that gravitate towards management positions? Yeah... it's this guy. Literally him. Happy to send people into the meat grinder for "progress", even though no actually scientific progress of any import was planned for the Challenger mission. It was mostly a publicity stunt! |
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| Using the space shuttle program as a comparison, because it's easy to get the numbers. There were 13 total deaths (7 from Challenger, 6 from Columbia [0]) during the program. Over 135 missions, the Space Shuttle took 817 people into space. (From [1], the sum of the "Crew" column. The Space Shuttle carried 355 distinct people, but some were on multiple missions.)
So the risk of death could be estimated as 2/135 (fatal flights / total flights) or as 13/817 (total fatalities / total crew). These are around 1.5%, must lower than a 50% chance of death. This is not to underplay their bravery. This is to state that the level of bravery to face a 1.5% chance of death is extremely high. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight-related_ac... [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Space_Shuttle_missions |
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| Destin (from Smarter Every Day Youtube channel fame) has concerns about the next NASA mission to the moon (named Artemis): https://youtu.be/OoJsPvmFixU
Read the comments (especially from NASA engineers). It's pretty interesting that sometimes it takes courageous engineers to break the spell that poor managers can have on an organization. |
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| Most of these organizational theories I've developed myself from observing how actual corporate hierarchies function and trying to put myself (and sometimes actually doing it!) in each of the different roles and think about how I would act with those incentives. I did have a good grounding of Drucker and other business books early in my career, and two blog series' that have influenced my thinking are a16z's "Ones and Twos" [1] and Ribbonfarm's "Gervais principle" [2].
For executive pay, the most crucial factor is the desire to align interests between shareholders and top executive management. The whole point of having someone else manage your company is so that you don't have to think about it; this only works when the CEO, on their own initiative, will take actions that benefit you. The natural inclination of most people (and certainly most people with enough EQ to lead others) is to be loyal to the people you work with; these are the folks you see day in and day out, and your power base besides. So boards need to pay enough to make the CEO loyal to their stock package rather than the people they work with, so that when it comes time to make tough decisions like layoffs or reorgs or exec departures, they prioritize the shareholders over the people they work with. This is also why exec packages are weighted so heavily toward stock. Most CEOs don't actually make a huge salary; median cash compensation for a CEO is about $250K [3], less than a line manager at a FANG. Median total comp is $2M (and it goes up rapidly for bigger companies), so CEOs make ~90%+ of their comp in stock, again to align incentives with shareholders. And it's why exec searches are so difficult, and why not just anyone can fill the role (which again serves to keep compensation high). The board is looking for someone whose natural personality, values, and worldview exemplifies what the company needs right now, so that they just naturally do what the board (and shareholders) want. After all, the whole point is that the board does not want to manage the CEO; that is why you have a CEO. There are some secondary considerations as well, like: 1.) It's good for executives to be financially independent, because you don't want fear of being unable to put food on the table to cloud their judgment. Same reason that founder cash-outs exist. If the right move for a CEO is to eliminate their position and put themselves out of a job, they should do it - but they usually control information flow to the board, so it's not always clear that a board will be able to fire them if that's the case. This is not as important for a line worker since if the right move is to eliminate their position and put themselves out of a job, there's an executive somewhere to lay them off. 2.) There's often a risk-compensation premium in an exec's demands, because you get thrown out of a job oftentimes because of things entirely beyond your control, and it can take a long time to find an equivalent exec position (very few execs get hired, after all), and if you're in a big company your reputation might be shot after a few quarters of poor business performance. Same reason why execs are often offered garden leave to find their next position after being removed from their exec role (among others like preventing theft of trade secrets and avoiding public spats between parties). So if you're smart and aren't already financially independent, you'll negotiate a package to make yourself financially independent once your stocks vest. 3.) Execs very often get their demands met, because of the earlier point about exec searches being very difficult and boards looking for the unicorn who naturally does what the organization needs. Once you find a suitable candidate, you don't want to fail to get them because you didn't offer enough, so boards tend to err on the side of paying too much rather than too little. Another thing to note is that execs may seem overpaid relative to labor, but they are not overpaid relative to owners. A top-notch hired CEO like Andy Grove got about 1-1.5% of Intel as his compensation; meanwhile, Bob Noyce and Gordon Moore got double-digit percentages, for doing a lot less work. Sundar Pichai gets $226M/year, but relative to Alphabet's market cap, this is only 0.01%. Meanwhile, Larry Page and Sergey Brin each own about 10%. PG&E's CEO makes about $17M/year, but this is only 0.03% of the company's market cap. There's a whole other essay to write about why owners might prefer to pay a CEO more to cut worker's wages vs. just pay the workers more, but it can basically be summed up as "there's one CEO and tens of thousands of workers, so any money you pay the CEO is dwarfed by any delta in compensation changes to the average worker. Get the CEO to cut wages and he will have saved many multiples his comp package." [1] https://a16z.com/ones-and-twos/ [2] https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2009/10/07/the-gervais-principle-... [3] https://chiefexecutive.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/CEO_Co... |
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| Interestingly, we're still testing SLS SRBs[1] horizontally.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n-wqAbVqZyg --- 1. In case anyone doesn't know, they use the actual recovered Shuttle casings on SLS, but use an extra "middle" section to make it 5 sections in length instead of the Shuttle's 4 sections. In the future they'll move to "BOLE" boosters which won't use previously flown Shuttle parts. |
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| I think the booster was redesigned after the accident, I guess/hope the opportunity was seized to make a design that would be less sensitive to orientation. |
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| Avoiding the use of AI is just going to get you lapped.
There’s no benefit to your ideological goals in kneecapping yourself. There’s nothing morally wrong with using or building AI, or gambling. |
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| Lots of things create and feed addictions, including baking cookies.
Let’s not confuse the issue. Just because you find something distasteful doesn’t mean it’s bad or morally problematic. |
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| Is it miles ahead? An engine that ingests a ridiculous amount of data to produce influence? Isn't that just advertising but more efficient and with even less accountability? |
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| There are even engineers with such concerns working in these firms. They might figure that the missile is getting built no matter if they work there or not, so they might as well take the job offer. |
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| I would wish lot more programmers refuse to work with surveillance and add tech... But nearly every site has that stuff on them... Goes to tell what are the principles of profession or in general... |
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| So do you think that people should be required to become members of a "regulated profession" before writing a VBA spreadsheet macro, or contributing to an open-source project? |
The launch could have gone right, and no one would have known anything about the decision process besides a few insiders. I am sure that on project as complex and as risky as a Space Shuttle, there is always an engineer that is not satisfied with some aspect, for some valid reason. But at some point, one needs to launch the thing, despite the complains. How many projects luckily succeeded after a reckless decision?
In many accidents, we can point at an engineer who foreshadowed it, as it is the case here. Usually followed by blaming those who proceeded anyways. But these decision makers are in a difficult position. Saying "no" is easy and safe, but at some point, one needs to say "yes" and take risks, otherwise nothing would be done. So, whose "no" to ignore? Not Allan's apparently.