Apollo经济学家称,AI对大多数公司没有带来任何财务回报
AI delivers 'zero financial payoff' to most companies, Apollo economist says

原始链接: https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/25/ai-delivers-zero-financial-payoff-to-most-companies-according-to-apollo-economist/

Apollo Global Management首席经济学家表示,AI尚未提升大型非科技公司的利润。观察标普493,利润率和每员工收入持平,没有迹象表明AI正在提高生产力。他认为,企业很难将更便宜的智能转化为更高的收入增长和利润率,因为AI缺乏判断力、责任感、信任、文化和伦理理解。近期研究也显示,AI尚未带来重大的生产力提升。

一个Hacker News帖子讨论了Apollo经济学家关于AI对大多数公司带来“零财务回报”的说法。批评者认为Apollo可能挑拣标题,且底层的Census Bureau数据噪声较大;一位评论者发布了更新后的图表,显示采用率上升。辩护者反驳说,报告是事实观察,而非预测。 许多评论者分享了真实生产力提升的轶事——更快的编程、数据清洗、迁移和咨询——但认为这些很少体现在收入或利润上。提出的理由包括:竞争对手使用相同工具,收益被竞争掉,且大量企业产出受限于流程、销售和协调,而非编程速度。其他人指出采用仍处于早期,行业差异明显,软件接近零的边际成本使得产出增益难以货币化。 帖子还讨论了AI是被过度炒作还是变革性技术,对比了过去的科技浪潮,并担忧质量退化。总体而言,个人生产力似乎有所提升,但整体财务回报仍难以衡量或证明。
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原文

AI hasn’t benefited the bottom line of any big corporations outside the tech industry, according to a note recently published by the chief economist at Apollo Global Management (the private equity giant that used to own TechCrunch).

Apollo’s Torsten Slok focuses on what he calls the S&P 493 — the S&P 500, minus Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla — finding that profit margins and revenue per worker appear to be flat, with no evidence that AI is improving productivity.

“Despite massive investments and widespread hype around artificial intelligence, the technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech,” Slok said.

Is this simply a matter of non-tech companies lagging behind the tech giants? Slok sounded skeptical, arguing that it will be tough for corporate America to “turn increasingly cheap intelligence into higher revenue growth and higher profit margins.”

“AI may be a great calculator, but in business, intelligence is mostly judgment,” he wrote, later adding, “AI does not understand accountability, trust, culture, unwritten rules, ethical trade-offs or fairness, all of which shape reputational risk and ultimately drive revenue growth and profit margins.”

Recent studies have also found that AI has yet to deliver significant productivity gains.

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