燃油价格冲击推动燃油车占全球新车销量的比例首次降至50%以下
Fuel Price Shock Pushes Gas Cars Under 50% Of Global New-Auto Sales For First Time

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fuel-price-shock-pushes-gas-cars-under-50-global-new-auto-sales-first-time

汽油动力汽车在全球汽车销量中的占比首次降至50%以下。霍尔木兹海峡危机和飙升的燃油价格加快了中国以外市场对电动汽车的采用。 今年上半年,传统汽油车销量同比下降10%至2025万辆,市场份额降至49%。 随着汽油和柴油价格上涨,电动汽车销量大幅增长。欧洲纯电动汽车销量同比增长52%,德国增长75%,法国则增长了一倍以上。全球第二季度电动汽车销量较第一季度增长35%,其中50个国家创下销量纪录;今年上半年,电动汽车销量在多达90个国家实现增长。 分析师预计,燃油市场长期波动将推动汽车市场进一步转向电动汽车,尽管电池矿产供应和充电基础设施建设仍需投入数十亿美元。中国继续处于领先地位,电动汽车和混合动力汽车约占新车销量的55%。

相关文章

原文

By Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com

The share of gasoline cars in global vehicle sales fell below 50% for the first time ever as the Hormuz shock and the resulting record-high fuel prices accelerated the previously sluggish shift toward EVs outside China.

A few years ago, China blew past the threshold of 50% of all car sales being hybrids and EVs, and the share is now about 55%. But the rest of the world didn’t follow until the Iran war disrupted the fuel markets.

Global sales shares of EVs are far from the Chinese numbers, but the shift toward electric vehicles has been remarkably fast amid spiking gasoline and diesel prices, which pushed many consumers to choose EVs.

The surge in gasoline prices this year led to the first dip in the share of gasoline-fueled cars below 50%, ever, according to data by automotive data and analytics provider Mobility Global cited by Nikkei Asia.

Between January and June, sales of gas-powered vehicles, excluding hybrids, slumped by 10% from a year earlier, to 20.25 million cars, and their share of total global automotive sales fell by 3 percentage points to 49%, the data showed.

For years, the EV uptake in markets outside China was sluggish and lagging forecasts, but the Hormuz crisis, the $100 oil prices, and record diesel and gasoline prices pushed many consumers in Europe, South America, and Asia Pacific toward EVs.

Battery electric vehicle sales in Europe, including the UK, Switzerland, and Norway, surged by 52.2% in August from a year earlier as record-high gasoline and diesel prices prompted drivers to flock to battery and hybrid vehicles, data by the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association, ACEA, showed last month.

BEV sales in Germany, the biggest car market in Europe, soared by 75% in August year-over-year, as gasoline prices in Germany hit an all-time high of 2.31 euros per liter, or the equivalent of about $10 per gallon.

EV sales in France, another major European market, more than doubled.

In Germany, where the government introduced a purchase premium for EVs from January 2026, sales are accelerating, an analysis by the German Institute for Economic Research, DIW, showed earlier this week.

One in every four passenger cars sold in Germany between January and August was a pure battery electric vehicle, while the share in August was even higher – one in every three passenger cars sold was a BEV, according to the analysis. This compares to an average of 19% in 2025.

Globally, electric vehicle sales have surged this year following the oil supply disruption in the Middle East and the second oil price shock in four years.

Following a subdued start to the year, EV sales jumped in the second quarter after the Middle East crisis slashed crude supply and hiked oil and fuel prices, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in July in an update to its annual EV outlook.

EV sales rebounded sharply in the second quarter, rising by 35% compared with the first quarter “as the energy crisis sparked by the war in the Middle East brought fuel price volatility back into sharp focus,” the agency said.

EV sales in the second quarter reached record-high levels in 50 countries as drivers preferred electric vehicles amid soaring fuel prices.

In sizable car markets such as Brazil, India, Australia, and Vietnam, electric car sales roughly doubled between March and June compared with the same period in 2025, according to the IEA’s analysis in the report.

Moreover, as many as 90 countries saw annual growth in EV sales in the first half of the year.

The accelerating EV adoption that began with the spike in oil and fuel prices is set to remain a trend in the global markets and could push the share of EVs in the passenger fleet above earlier expectations, analysts at Wood Mackenzie say.

Challenges to accelerated adoption still remain, including the need for billions of U.S. dollars in investments in critical battery minerals supply and charging networks. Yet, the longer the Strait of Hormuz crisis roils global fuel markets, the stronger the case for EV adoption could become.

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com