美国三年来首次加息
US interest rates raised for first time in three years

原始链接: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw4gmlyvj422o

美国联邦储备委员会三年来首次加息,将利率从 3.5%-3.75% 上调至 3.75%-4%。美联储主席凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)称这一全票通过的决定是应对持续通胀的“负责任”举措。过去五年来,通胀率一直高于美联储 2% 的目标。 尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统公开要求降息并批评美联储委员会“充满敌意”,美联储仍采取了此次行动。虽然特朗普政府认为加息不利于经济,但美联储依然专注于在全球地缘政治不稳定(包括美国、以色列与伊朗之间的冲突)导致成本上升的背景下稳定物价。 此次加息可能会提高美国民众的借贷成本,进而影响信用卡、个人贷款和新抵押贷款。尽管一些决策者预计明年还会进一步加息至 4.5% 以抑制通胀,但美联储预计物价增长将在 2029 年趋于稳定。民主党议员批评此举会加重债务负担,而美联储则坚持认为控制通胀对于长期经济稳定至关重要。

这个 Hacker News 帖子讨论了美国近期三年来首次加息的情况。用户评论对当前的经济形势持冷嘲热讽的态度,将此次加息归因于各种地缘政治和行政上的失败。 主要观点包括: * **地缘政治归咎:** 一位用户认为,中东地区的外交政策失误直接导致了国内的经济困境。 * **货币控制:** 另一位贡献者认为美联储已经失去了对长期国债收益率的控制,目前正试图进行孤注一掷的修正,并推测政府可能会诉诸将美联储国有化等极端手段。 * **政策不一致:** 第三位用户批评现任政府追求相互矛盾的目标,指出他们一方面推动降低利率,另一方面却在实施关税等通胀政策并卷入外国冲突。 总体而言,评论者并不认为此次加息是一次标准的经济调整,而是将其视为体制动荡和管理不善的深层症状。
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原文

US interest rates raised for first time in three years

Watch: Why has the Federal Reserve raised interest rates?

US interest rates have been raised for the first time in more than three years and could be increased further in a bid to slow rising prices.

Rates were hiked to 3.75%-4% from 3.5%-3.75% by the Federal Reserve in a unanimous decision, despite fierce opposition from President Donald Trump, who had called for rates to be cut.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the move was because "inflation is too high and has been for too long", adding that it was a "sober" and "responsible decision".

After the announcement, Trump expressed support for Warsh but said the Fed board, which votes on rate decisions, was "hostile".

Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive for people wanting to secure loans, mortgages, and credit cards, but can lead to better returns on savings.

Warsh said during a press conference on Wednesday following the decision that, while there was "an attitude of optimism" within the Fed leadership, inflation remained a problem.

Like many central banks, the Fed has a target of keeping inflation at 2% or below. Warsh noted that US inflation has been above the target "for more than five years".

That has helped make affordability one of the top concerns of American voters, who have seen fuel prices surge in response to soaring wholesale oil prices since the start of the US-Israel war with Iran. This has driven up the cost of many goods and services, as well.

While the Fed "cannot affect any individual price – whether it be oil prices, whether it be food stuffs at the grocery store", Warsh said, the central bank can work to keep price rises from broadening across the economy.

He added that strength in the jobs market and wider economy meant the Fed was staying focused on stabilising prices, and that those least well off had the most to gain from lower inflation.

Central banks tend to increase rates when inflation is high to discourage spending and encourage saving, in the hope this will reduce the pace of price rises. But it's a balancing act, as higher rates can also encourage businesses to hold off on investing and hurt economic growth.

Watch: Federal Reserve chair says rate increase decision was "responsible"

What the higher rate means for Americans

When he was confirmed, Democratic lawmakers had said Warsh would be Trump's "sock puppet" and many Fed watchers expected him to carry out Trump's persistent demands to slash rates. Trump had been heavily critical of Warsh's predecessor Jerome Powell for not cutting them.

Asked on Wednesday about the message the rate hike sent to Trump, Warsh chuckled before saying: "I have got nothing for you on a discussion with the president."

Trump told reporters later "I'm relying on Kevin [Warsh], but he's got, you know, a very tough board".

"And the, interest rates are too high. They're not appropriate... I talked to Kevin and I said, 'you might as well vote with the board because it's not going to matter.' The board is very hostile, they're very political," he added.

Earlier, Trump said on social media: "LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!"

Democrats on Capitol Hill said the rate increase would make loans costlier and, in turn, more Americans would go into debt.

"This is going to make everything become more expensive," said Chuck Schumer, the top Democrat in the Senate. "This is because Donald Trump does not know how to manage the economy."

The Fed's hike is the first rate move in any direction since they were cut in December 2025. The last time they were raised was in July 2023.

The increase could help push up mortgage rates for home buyers and lead to Americans paying more on other types of debt.

Major US banks JP Morgan, KeyCorp, and BNY all raised their prime lending rate on Wednesday to 7% from 6.75%, which will affect rates charged on credit cards and personal loans.

Mortgage costs have climbed over the past year but remain below peaks seen in 2023. A 30-year fixed deal is 6.76% on average, while a 15-year deal is 6.09%, according to figures from Freddie Mac.

Many US homeowners have 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, and changes to interest rates will not impact their monthly repayments. But higher rates could affect those looking to secure a new mortgage or refinance.

Warsh declined to provide his own view on where he saw the Fed's rates going, but the majority of his fellow policymakers said they believe rates would be hiked again before the end of this year to between 4-4.25%.

A small majority also said rates could rise further to the 4.25-4.5% next year, before cuts begin in 2028 and 2029.

The forecast suggested price rises will ease in the coming years, with inflation, the measure used to assess the cost of living, predicted to fall steadily to the Fed's target by 2029.

The US Fed is not alone in facing rising inflation since the Iran war, with the European Central Bank raising rates last week and the Bank of England set to make its own decision on Thursday.

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