油轮运费创下历史新高,中东航运风险激增
Oil Tanker Rates Hit Record Highs as Middle East Shipping Risks Soar

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/oil-tanker-rates-hit-record-highs-middle-east-shipping-risks-soar

中东地缘政治紧张局势不断升级,特别是美伊之间持续的油轮争端,已将全球石油航运费推向历史新高。由于霍尔木兹海峡的航行风险日益增加,贸易商和运营商被迫改走更长、效率更低的航线(例如经由红海和埃及)来安全运输石油。 这种转变导致可用船舶严重短缺,因为油轮在这些延长航程上的耗时更长。因此,超大型油轮(VLCC)的租金飞涨,中东至中国等航线的运费已达到每天近80万美元的前所未有水平。行业专家形容当前市场处于高度“受压”且脆弱的状态,并指出多个瓶颈正在同时汇聚。只要这些关键海上咽喉要道的干扰威胁依然存在,船舶供应不足和高昂运费的情况预计将持续,这反映出全球石油物流正处于深度动荡之中。

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原文

By Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com

Oil tanker rates have jumped to record highs as escalating risks to shipping in and out of the Middle East are prompting traders and tanker operators to undertake inefficient and more expensive trade routes.

While the crude oil supply is actually there, shipping it through the Strait of Hormuz remains a very risky endeavor, especially in light of the escalating U.S.-Iran tanker war in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, while Saudi Arabia has started to move crude cargoes out of the region through the north of the Red Sea and from Egypt’s Mediterranean ports.

The much longer workarounds are tying tankers and supertankers for longer with the shippers, tightening the market of available vessels so much that rates are skyrocketing to all-time highs. 

For example, the benchmark daily rate for a very large crude carrier (VLCC) to ship oil from the Middle East to China has hit a record high of almost $800,000, per data compiled by Bloomberg.

The price of chartering a supertanker to ship crude from the U.S. Gulf Coast to Asia has now hit a lump-sum fee of $29.5 million per run, and that’s not even factoring in fees for additional war risks or unexpected delays. 

“The VLCC positions list is now so tight that no one would be too surprised if we see the WS 400 mark breached for a Fujairah/East run off a prompt-ish position before long, crazy as it may sound,” shipbroker Fearnleys said in its latest weekly report for the week ended September 9.

“The oil still needs to get out through the Strait of Hormuz, and Iranians have increased efforts to stop that from happening. It’s a fragile state of affairs,” the shipbroker added.

“There’s quite a few bottlenecks all at the same time,” Alex Grant, Equinor’s global head of crude, products and liquids trading, told Bloomberg on the sidelines of the APPEC petroleum conference in Singapore.

“The market is quite stressed with all of that, and that’s showing up in the shipping rates.”

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