10年期美债拍卖表现强劲,录得十年来最高认购倍数,收益率创2007年以来新高。
Stellar 10Y Auction Stops Through, With Highest Bid To Cover In A Decade On BIggest Yield Since 2007

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stellar-10y-auction-stops-through-highest-bid-cover-decade-biggest-yield-2007

尽管此前宣布的 60 亿美元回购计划令人失望,并一度推动 10 年期美债收益率逼近 4.85%,但今日 390 亿美元的 10 年期国债拍卖结果却意外强劲。 本次拍卖的中标收益率为 4.834%,创下 2007 年以来的新高,但出现了 1.5 个基点的“停止收益率”(stop-through),显示出强劲的市场需求。投标倍数达到 2.713 倍,创下 2016 年以来的最高水平。内部数据同样亮眼:间接投标者抢购了总额 79.18% 的债券,创下历史纪录,使得一级交易商的获配比例降至仅 4.31% 的历史低位。 这一出色的拍卖表现为市场提供了必要的缓冲,成功缓解了投资者的焦虑情绪,并帮助回落了日内早些时候收益率的飙升。尽管 10 年期美债收益率仍处于高位,但强劲的拍卖结果有效避免了全面的市场恐慌。

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原文

After today's very disappointing buyback announcement, which at $6BN came in far below whisper expectations of $10BN, and which sent yields surging to 4.85%, many were on edge ahead of today's $39 billion sale of 10Y paper. In the end, it priced far stronger than expected, with today's selloff providing a sufficient concession to stir up enough demand to avoid a fullblown bond market panic. 

The 9 Year/11 month reopening of cusip ER0 stopped at a high yield of 4.834%, up from 4.680% in August, and the highest since August 2007!

Just as importantly, the auction stopped through the When Issued 4.384% by 1.5bps, the biggest stop through since April 2025, which was some much needed good news in a day when yields soared briefly above 4.85% on their path to the inevitable date with 5.00%

The bid to cover was stellar at 2.713, it jumped from 2.532 in August and was the highest since April 2016.

The internals were even stronger, with indirect bidders taking 79.18% of the issue, one of the highest on record, while primary dealers were left with just 4.31%, the lowest participation since late Sept 2025. Direct took down 16.51%, right in line with the recent average of 16.42%.

In short, this was a stellar auction, which helped pare some of the earlier blowout in yields following today's buyback announcement, with the 10-year note last yielding 4.837%, up 3.26bp on the session but off its pre-auction highs.

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