品浩 (Pimco) 表现最佳的 60/40 基金押注:AI 的下一个赢家在亚洲,涵盖从芯片到稀土的领域。
Pimco's Top-Performing 60/40 Fund Bets AI's Next Winners Are In Asia, From Chips To Rare Earths

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/pimcos-top-performing-6040-fund-bets-ais-next-winners-are-asia-chips-rare-earths

太平洋投资管理公司(PIMCO)规模达 190 亿美元、业绩领先的“平衡收益与增长基金”经理伊曼纽尔·沙雷夫(Emmanuel Sharef)正将投资重心从估值高企的美国“七巨头”股票转向亚洲市场。尽管许多投资者仍聚焦于昂贵的超大规模企业,但沙雷夫认为,日益增加的资本支出和债务负担使得这些巨头的吸引力有所下降。 该基金转而瞄准人工智能基础设施热潮中的“基石”环节。通过在供应链下游进行布局,基金增加了对三星、SK 海力士和台积电等亚洲企业的敞口。沙雷夫强调,人工智能的下一波增长潜力在于数据中心所需的物理组件,包括冷却系统、光学设备、电源供应、工业金属及稀土矿产。 随着人工智能领域的交易因物理资源的可获得性而日益受限,沙雷夫认为亚洲制造商和中国资源开采企业能提供更佳的盈利增长和更合理的估值。总而言之,这一策略表明,人工智能投资周期的下一阶段将由美国以外的机会所主导,而非硅谷那些家喻户晓的科技巨头。

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原文

Emmanuel Sharef, who oversees Pacific Investment Management Co.'s flagship Balanced Income and Growth Fund, spoke with Bloomberg about how the next leg of the artificial-intelligence boom could be concentrated in Asian stocks and beyond

Wealthy clients in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and mainland China have been piling into the $19 billion fund, which has outperformed 97% of its peers during the past three years.

The fund is underweight most hyperscalers and members of the Magnificent Seven as soaring AI capital expenditures increase debt loads, pressure free cash flow, spark credit concerns, and make already eye-popping valuations much harder to justify. 

"We're underweight the majority of hyperscalers at the moment and we're underweight the majority of the Mag seven just given their high valuations," Sharef told the outlet earlier this week.

He continued, "You don't necessarily need to own the most expensive stocks to capture a particular theme or a particular market trend."

The 60/40 Balanced Income and Growth Fund has been moving further down the supply chain toward companies that build data center components and has become overweight in Asia, where it sees stronger earnings growth, cheaper valuations, and greater exposure to the companies that should be viewed as the building blocks of a data center.

That infrastructure includes semiconductor components, cooling systems, cable interconnects, optical equipment, power supplies, construction machinery, and industrial metals.

"The AI capex build-out is enormous," he said. "It would imply significant demand for semiconductor components for chips, cooling equipment, cable interconnects, optical equipment, power supplies, construction equipment, metals, all of the things that go into building a data center."

The fund's 60% stock allocation gained exposure to AI last year by plowing billions of dollars into firms such as Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.

Sharef also highlighted a theme we've been developing: the importance of exposure to mining and materials companies tied to data-center construction and global rare-earth supply chains.

"Chinese resource extraction and materials companies are quite significant, not just for the data center buildup, but also for rare earths," he added.

Sharef's call to gain exposure to rare earths and critical materials reinforces a theme we have been developing: the AI trade is ultimately constrained by access to the physical inputs required to build chips, data centers, and power infrastructure. Rare earths and other critical materials are becoming a crucial component of the next AI trade as Chinese suppliers restrict some shipments to the US and US companies accelerate efforts to secure alternative sources beyond Beijing's reach

The takeaway from Sharef's conversation with Bloomberg is that the next AI winners will be on an ex-US basis, mostly in Asia. 

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