伊朗战争使超大型油轮(VLCC)的日租金飙升至65万美元
The Iran War Has Turned VLCCs Into $650,000-A-Day Assets

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-war-has-turned-vlccs-650000-day-assets

波斯湾的石油运输量正在增加,但原油运输成本已飙升至前所未有的水平。近期,基准航线(沙特至中国)上超级油轮的日收入达到创纪录的64.7万美元,较去年增长了十倍,原因在于几乎没有船东愿意在风险极高的霍尔木兹海峡航行。 供应紧缺的情况因“双重物流”过程而加剧:生产商正越来越多地利用海湾外的船对船转运,这实际上使运费翻了一番。与此同时,胡塞武装在红海的袭击迫使油轮改道绕行非洲,使航行时间增加了约30天,进一步加剧了全球船舶运力的紧张。 道达尔能源(TotalEnergies)首席执行官帕特里克·普扬(Patrick Pouyanne)指出,目前通过霍尔木兹海峡运输单一货物的成本约为2000万美元,且这一数字还在不断攀升。尽管根据高盛的数据,出口量已开始回升至战前水平的三分之二左右,但物流风险和改道航线已导致全球能源运输成本大幅溢价。

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原文

Authored by Julianne Geiger via OilPrice.com,

More Gulf oil is moving again. Getting it out now costs a fortune.

Earnings on the benchmark Saudi Arabia-to-China supertanker route surged to a record $647,000 per day on Thursday, according to Baltic Exchange data cited by Bloomberg. That is more than ten times the rate a year ago-and nearly 27% above the $510,000 reached just ten days earlier.

The spike comes as Persian Gulf producers increase crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz despite the continuing Iran war.

That should, in theory, ease the oil supply crunch. Instead, it has created another one: ships.

Few tanker owners are willing to send vessels through Hormuz, leaving exporters competing for the smaller pool that will take the risk. The result is an extraordinary premium for anyone willing to make the trip.

And crossing Hormuz is increasingly only the first leg.

Producers have begun shuttling crude through the strait before transferring cargoes onto other tankers outside the Gulf. That effectively creates two freight bills-one for getting the oil through Hormuz and another for hauling it onward to Asia.

TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne said earlier this week that moving a cargo through Hormuz cost about $20 million. Tanker market participants told Bloomberg those costs have risen further since then.

Even outside the strait, rates are climbing. A tanker traveling from Oman to China now commands roughly $220,000 per day, up from $131,000 a month ago.

The squeeze is being amplified by Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, which have forced Saudi Arabia to redirect some barrels through the Mediterranean and around Africa, adding roughly 30 days to voyages bound for Asia.

There are signs that more oil is escaping the Gulf. Traders estimate Hormuz outflows at 6 million to 8 million barrels per day, while Goldman Sachs puts flows at roughly two-thirds of pre-war levels.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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