“我希望这能为未来提供一个很好的教训”:民意调查员普拉卡什的撒谎执照
"I Hope It Gives A Really Good Lesson Going Forward": 'Pollster' Prakash's License To Lie

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/i-hope-it-gives-really-good-lesson-going-forward-rahil-prakash-and-license-lie

乔纳森·特利(Jonathan Turley)重点介绍了拉希尔·普拉卡什(Rahil Prakash)的案例。这位应届毕业生通过散布虚假的政治民调,测试了信息生态系统的脆弱性。普拉卡什伪造的数据涉及从威斯康星州州长竞选到洛杉矶市长选举等多个领域,这些数据被媒体广泛采纳,甚至影响了现实中的竞选决策。 特利指出,尽管普拉卡什的行为在道德上破产,但根据美国宪法第一修正案,这些行为可能仍受保护。援引“美国诉阿尔瓦雷斯案”(United States v. Alvarez),特利解释称,除非谎言被用于获取实质性经济利益或进行欺诈,否则政府无法将散布虚假信息定为犯罪。这一法律现实使得此类“社会实验”即便造成了严重的民主干扰,也难以被起诉。 最终,特利认为这场争议暴露了双重失败:一是生态系统在未经核实的情况下轻信并报道虚假信息,二是个人出于个人娱乐或获取影响力而滥用这种信任,缺乏道德根基。尽管普拉卡什将自己的恶作剧美化为警示性教训,但特利驳斥了这种辩解,将其视为日益增多的匿名、不道德行为者中的一员,指责他们将互联网武器化,以破坏公共讨论。

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原文

Authored by Jonathan Turley via Jonathan Turley,

In this political season, there is one question that needs no poll: Rahil Prakash is a liar. The other thing we know is that he will likely get away with spreading fake polling results. Lies can be protected speech under the First Amendment and, while Prakash would not likely want to take a popularity poll, he is unlikely to face legal consequences for his "short-term social experiment."

We still do not know much about the twenty-one-year-old college graduate who reportedly admitted to releasing fake polling in the last election cycle.

What we do know is that he succeeded and such polls can influence critical campaign decisions. For example, his poll put the Democratic Socialist up by 23 points in Wisconsin and she surprised many by spending the final days campaigning in rural areas where she was expected to do worse. (She would lose by less than one percent of the vote). It is unclear where, had Hong known how close the race was, she would have spent the final days in higher-yield urban districts.

The story laid bare the vulnerability of modern polling, which was again wildly wrong in predictions in various races during the primaries. However, it also highlights a novel question of potential liability for knowingly spreading falsehoods. In this case, Prakash wanted the lie to spread and likely succeeded beyond his wildest imagination.

He told The Guardian that "I wanted to see if fake polls could really penetrate the ecosystem that easily. And as it turned out, it could." He created a website called Median Strategies and released fake polls in Democrat primaries in the Wisconsin governor's race, the Los Angeles mayoral race, and two statewide Nevada races. The polls were quickly picked up and spread throughout the "ecosystem."

He explained to the Guardian how easy it was: "I think my overall takeaway was that if you just make it look a bit pretty, it's rather easy for it to spread."

We do not know if Prakash had a political motive in showing certain candidates dominating in certain races.

He reportedly denied using his fake polls to play betting sites as part of the prediction market. He also denied being compensated or directed by any campaign to run the hoax.

That matters because using lies for financial gain can be a form of fraud. However, just being a liar is protected.

In United States v. Alvarez, the Supreme Court struck down the Stolen Valor Act and held 6-3 that it is unconstitutional to criminalize lies.

The case shows the dividing line. Xavier Alvarez was protected in claiming to have won the Congressional Medal of Honor as well as marrying a Mexican movie star, playing for the Detroit Red Wings, and rescuing the ambassador in the Iranian hostage crisis. However, if he had used those claims to receive veteran benefits or donations, he could have been prosecuted.

Many of us in the free speech community supported that decision and still oppose censorship systems that target what governments decide is disinformation, misinformation, or malinformation. Anti-free speech figures have long justified censorship by declaring views as false or dangerous.

While apologizing to a few campaigns for misleading them, Prakash still seems perfectly clueless about the ethics and impact of lying in elections. Indeed, he seems to entirely remove himself from the problem of spreading lies: "I hope it gives a really good lesson going forward in that we need to be very serious about these things and very serious in how, if one person can do this, what can a serious operation do in the future - a real, you know, operation for an organization, country, whatever."

Yeah, whatever.

The most revealing aspect of this controversy is not that some polling seems to lack any factual foundation for its predictions, but that some people lack any moral foundation for their actions. We have seen similar sites put out fake stories. Some do so for political ends, while others want to laugh at those gullible enough to trust them.

As with anonymous positions, the Internet gives people a certain license to say and do things that they would not do in their own name. Unlike Prakash, most are not exposed. They spread vicious, false stories and relish their sense of twisted power. While lacking the courage to speak in their own names (often in attacking those who have the courage to do so), they yield to their darkest or cruelest inclinations.

Prakash created a fake site to make it seem like this was not an anonymous, unreliable source. He found his chumps in the media who wanted to report the results without looking into the source. However, the "really good lesson" was missed by him: he was neither noble nor particularly clever, just another liar among the Internet's sad voyeurs and vagabonds.

Jonathan Turley is a law professor and the best-selling author of "Rage and the Republic: The Unfinished Story of the American Revolution."

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