2027年生产的所有内存均已售罄。
2027 memory capacity is reportedly sold out

原始链接: https://www.ign.com/articles/ramageddon-continues-another-year-as-2027-memory-capacity-is-reportedly-sold-out

一份新报告指出,全球内存短缺现象将持续数年。据报道,三星、SK 海力士和美光这几家主要制造商的 DRAM 和 HBM 产能已被订购一空,直至 2027 年。受人工智能公司大规模长期采购协议的驱动,这种供应锁定预计将在可预见的未来导致消费级内存价格居高不下,且难以买到。 这一影响不仅限于系统内存;NAND 闪存的需求也在增加。虽然 NAND 的产能尚未被完全消化,但过去六个月中 SSD 的价格已经大幅上涨。这种趋势目前正在硬件市场蔓延,推高了游戏主机和电脑配件的成本。除非产能有所扩张或人工智能驱动的市场发生转变,否则消费者应为硬件领域持续的价格上涨和供应紧张做好准备。

半导体行业目前正面临严重的存储容量短缺,据报道 2027 年的产能已被预订一空。在人工智能(AI)对高带宽内存(HBM)巨大需求的驱动下,内存制造商正优先生产 HBM,而这种内存所需的晶圆表面积远超标准 DDR5 内存。这一转变导致了所有 DRAM 产品出现供应紧缩。 这种情况引发了关于市场动态的激烈辩论: * **供需经济学:** 虽然一些人认为必须通过涨价来稳定需求,但另一些人指出,单纯提价无法克服物理生产限制。由于建造新的晶圆厂需要数年时间和数十亿美元,制造商对于为应对可能只是暂时的“AI 泡沫”而过度扩张持谨慎态度。 * **消费者影响:** 此次紧缺推高了消费级硬件的价格,导致个人电脑和笔记本电脑的升级成本显著增加。许多用户被迫转向购买旧的二手硬件,或干脆推迟升级。 * **行业批评:** 批评者将主要内存供应商描述为通过人为制造稀缺而非扩大产能来获取利润的“卡特尔”。此外,人们还担心过度依赖由风险资本驱动的 AI 营收,正在给整个科技行业带来系统性的财务风险。
相关文章

原文

It feels like no matter where I look recently, there's more evidence that the RAM crisis isn't ending any time soon. Now, a new report suggests that all three memory manufacturers — Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron — have collectively sold through their 2027 memory manufacturing capacity to, you guessed it, AI companies.

According to a report from Digitimes and spotted by TweakTown, all DRAM and HBM capacity has been sold through for 2027, with no further supply planned. (The companies themselves have not yet confirmed this to be the case.) Of course, that only means that retail prices are going to go up even further in the near future.

Selling through all the capacity for next year would be bad enough for consumers, but the problem is that most of the companies buying up this capacity have done so through long-term purchasing agreements, essentially pre-ordering memory that hasn't even been manufactured yet over a five-year term. Unless more capacity opens up somewhere in the next few years, it's hard to imagine that RAM will become more affordable and less scarce any time soon.

It's not just memory that's affected. According to that Digitimes report, NAND storage is growing in demand too. Luckily, NAND capacity hasn't been completely absorbed, because there are more companies supplying the stuff. But it's not exactly hard to see that SSDs have been growing steadily more expensive over the last six months or so.

Just look at the Western Digital SN7100, a pretty bog-standard PCIe 4 drive. According to Camelcamelcamel, it was about $110 in January for 1TB of storage, but now it's 52% more expensive, costing $189 before the tiny discount that Amazon currently has running. If NAND manufacturing capacity grows as scarce as RAM, I can only imagine how much that drive is going to cost this time next year.

All I know is that I grow weary of covering the RAM crisis, but it's hard to look at anything in the hardware space and not see the effects. Just this month, the Xbox Series X went up in price, and a month ago, the Steam Machine came out at a higher price than Valve wanted because of the higher cost of memory. At this point, all I can do is beg for the AI bubble to burst so I can at least buy a decent kit of RAM for less than $500 again.

Jackie Thomas is the Hardware and Buying Guides Editor at IGN and the PC components queen. You can follow her @Jackiecobra

联系我们 contact @ memedata.com