黄金的韧性表明货币危机并不遥远
Gold's Resilience Shows A Currency Crisis Isn't Far Away

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/golds-resilience-shows-currency-crisis-isnt-far-away

彭博社的马克·克兰菲尔德报道称,鉴于黄金在债券收益率上升和美元坚挺时期的弹性,投资者对黄金的兴趣增加表明对潜在货币贬值的担忧。 各国央行最近增加了黄金持有量,强化了这一观点。 随着人们对发达经济体和新兴经济体竞争性贬值的担忧日益加剧,央行支撑货币的干预措施并未成功。 美联储杰罗姆·鲍威尔暗示对降息保持耐心,维持美元强势。 令人惊讶的是,尽管由于央行大量购买黄金 ETF 持有量在 2022 年有所下降,但黄金仍持续上涨。 地缘政治紧张局势也成为投资黄金和其他贵金属的额外动力,提供了一种易于在全世界范围内认可的可携带、有形的财富形式。 像比特币这样的加密货币为那些寻求替代价值储存手段的人提供了另一种选择。

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原文

First it was Michael Hartnett, warning that the "Explosion In Gold Shows Investors Are Preparing For The Endgame", now it's Bloomberg's turn.

According to BBG Markets Live reporter Mark Cranfield, the resilience of precious metals in the face of rising bond yields and a strong US dollar suggests investors are hedging against currency debasements. Central banks adding to their gold holdings in recent months only supports that view.

As Cranfield correctly notes, there is nothing better to concentrate the mind of conservative investors than being fearful that whichever currency they hold isn’t being wholeheartedly defended by its lender of last resort. Indeed, there is more than a hint of a competitive devaluation cycle going on in the developed and emerging worlds.

This week has seen a flurry of verbal intervention rounds to support currencies from policymakers, but traders can see through the smokescreen. There is almost no appetite to deplete central bank reserves, especially when Jerome Powell says the Fed can take its time to lower rates, which will keep the US dollar underpinned.

Gold is even defying the trend of falling ETF holdings (although as shown in the chart below, there is no mystery why gold decoupled from gold ETFs in the middle of 2022 amid a record central bank buying bonanza).

Finally, the Bloomberg commentator observes that there is an icing on the cake for lovers of precious metals when geopolitical angst stays in the forefront of daily news summaries. Gold and silver are portable. They may be a bit heavy to carry, but everybody knows what they are and what they are worth when you show them a coin or a bar. And in case they get too heavy, there is always bitcoin...

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