中国实现火箭海上回收,但SpaceX仍领先多年
China Lands Reusable Rocket On Barge, But SpaceX Remains Years Ahead

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/china-lands-reusable-rocket-barge-spacex-remains-years-ahead

中国近期在其太空计划中取得了一项重要里程碑,成功将长征十号B运载火箭的第一级助推器降落在浮动驳船上。尽管这标志着中国在可重复使用发射技术方面取得了历史性突破,但该国在这一领域仍落后于SpaceX约十年;SpaceX自2015年起便已率先掌握并精通了助推器的回收与复用技术。 这种技术成熟度的差异反映在全球市场主导地位上。SpaceX先进的可复用技术实现了极高的发射频率——仅2026年第一季度就完成了40次发射,远远超过了中国同期12次的发射量。这种效率巩固了SpaceX在全球行业中的领先地位,而蓝色起源(Blue Origin)和国家支持的项目等竞争对手目前仍在努力缩小这一差距。 因此,投资者对SpaceX依然持强烈看涨态度,一些分析师随着对星舰(Starship)项目进一步商业化的预期,设定了激进的价格目标。尽管中国取得了进步,但SpaceX既定的领先优势确保了美国继续主导全球航天领域。

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原文

China successfully landed the first-stage booster of a Long March 10B rocket on a floating barge during an orbital launch test earlier Friday, marking the first major step in reusable launch technology, albeit roughly a decade behind Elon Musk's SpaceX.

"This mission … signifies a historic breakthrough in China's reusable rocket technology and a solid foundation for accelerating the improvement of China's space access capabilities," the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation wrote in a social media post.

Reusable rockets are key to SpaceX's dominance of the global launch market, with Musk's company having mastered booster recovery and reuse a decade ago:

  • December 21, 2015: First successful landing of an orbital-class Falcon 9 booster.
  • April 8, 2016: First successful landing on an ocean drone ship.
  • March 30, 2017: First relaunch of a previously flown Falcon 9 booster, marking the start of operational reuse.

Ten Years Ago: SpaceX Falcon 9 First Stage Landing  

Blue Origin, SpaceX's closest U.S. rival, completed the first successful landing of a New Glenn first-stage booster last November.

BryceTech's latest launch report for Q1 2026 shows how SpaceX's reusable-rocket technology has transformed Musk's space and AI company into a market leader.

SpaceX launched 40 rockets during the quarter, compared with 12 for China, five for Rocket Lab, and four for Russia, reinforcing the widening gap between SpaceX and the rest of the global launch industry.

More evidence of SpaceX's dominance:

And again:

SpaceX is a major reason America's space program continues to lead the world today and should maintain that lead through 2030.

Investors are waiting for the commercialization of Starship...

With SpaceX maintaining roughly a decade-long technological lead over nation-state-backed programs such as China's, it is little surprise that Wall Street analysts are piling in with bullish ratings on SPCX. Raymond James is the most aggressive, setting a Street-high 12-month price target of $800. Read the report here.

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