法国债券收益率在勒庞获准参加2027年总统大选后上升
French Bond Yields Rise After Le Pen Cleared To Run In 2027 Presidential Election

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/french-bond-yields-rise-after-le-pen-cleared-run-2027-presidential-election

玛丽娜·勒庞(Marine Le Pen)仍有资格参加法国总统竞选。上诉法院维持了她挪用公款罪的判决,但大幅缩减了其禁止参选的期限。法官在确认她滥用欧盟资金的同时,将禁令缩短至15个月,裁定更长时间的禁选期将损害民主进程和参选权。 尽管取得这一法律上的“胜利”,勒庞仍被判处一年缓刑,并可能需要佩戴电子监控设备——她此前曾表示,若有此条件,她将被迫退选。其所在的国民联盟党谴责此司法程序存在偏见。 曾在过去三次竞选中展现强大政治实力的勒庞,现在必须决定是亲自参选,还是将焦点让给她的门生若尔当·巴尔代拉(Jordan Bardella)。巴尔代拉目前被视为该党强有力的替代候选人,市场对这一裁决的反应相对平淡。预计勒庞将在即将播出的电视采访中宣布她的决定。

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原文

Marine Le Pen can enter the race to become France's next president after judges confirmed her embezzlement conviction on appeal but handed her a reprieve on an election ban.

Presiding Judge Michèle Agi confirmed Le Pen’s conviction, saying that she and several others at the National Rally party misused European Union funds earmarked to pay for aides.

But the appellate judges reduced her ban to 15 months, thus paving the way for her to lead her party into the next election.

“The court found that the enforcement of this penalty since March 31, 2025, has already remedied the breach of integrity to an extent compatible with the fundamental guarantees afforded to citizens, and that disregarding this would undermine the principle of freedom of candidacy, an essential condition for the democratic exercise of universal suffrage,” Judge Agi said in court.

Le Pen was initially convicted in March 2025 by first-instance judges, who gave her an election ban lasting five years and a two-year jail term that’s on hold while she appeals.

Her party was quick to react, with Bardella quipping on TV against what he described as the “tyranny of judges.”

Jordan Bardella, whom she has groomed as her chosen successor for years, is ready to take her spot as the lead candidate for the National Rally.

The 30-year-old would offer voters a somewhat different profile to Le Pen who has gained ground among voters in three successive presidential campaigns.

A recent poll suggested that either would lead the French election after a first round vote.

French bond yields are up modestly after the news, but were already higher before the decision...

For now, prediction markets show Le Pen's odds of victory improving modestly from an admittedly low level, while Bardella, has consolidated his position as favorite to win...

While Le Pen can still lodge a top court challenge, she has promised to announce whether she’ll run or not after this ruling.

Still, the court gave Le Pen a one-year jail sentence that it indicated she would likely serve with an electronic tag, for at least a portion of the term, and she has indicated she would likely withdraw if she was forced to wear the bracelet during the campaign.

The decision now rests with Len Pen as to her future - she is scheduled to speak in a television interview at 8 p.m. local time.

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