CBOE推出标普500指数预测市场合约
CBOE Debuts Prediction Market With S&P 500 Contracts

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cboe-debuts-prediction-market-sp-500-contracts

Cboe 全球市场公司已正式进军预测市场领域,推出了名为“Cboe Predicts”的平台,提供与标普 500 指数挂钩的二元合约。该产品目前可通过盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)进行交易,允许交易者就指数收盘价是否会高于或低于特定点位进行“是”或“否”的押注。Cboe 计划在未来几个月内将该服务扩展至嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)等其他平台。 此举旨在响应散户投资者对短期、基于结果的交易工具日益增长的需求。与目前因政治和体育博彩相关问题而面临法律挑战的 Polymarket 或 Kalshi 等争议性较强、监管较少的预测市场不同,Cboe 的合约被构建为证券期权。通过在现有的美国上市期权监管框架下运营,Cboe 旨在提供更高的透明度和机构级的流动性。 此次发布凸显了传统金融公司进军预测市场的广泛趋势,尽管该行业正面临立法者和州监管机构因担忧类似赌博的活动及潜在内幕交易而引发的日益严厉的审查。

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原文

Authored by Zoltan Vardai via CoinTelegraph.com,

Market operator Cboe Global Markets has entered the prediction markets business with the launch of Cboe Predicts, a platform debuting with binary contracts tied to the S&P 500.

The contracts are now available through Interactive Brokers and are expected to launch at Charles Schwab and other retail brokerage platforms in the coming months, according to a Tuesday press release.

The contracts allow traders to take "yes" or "no" positions on whether the S&P 500 will close above or below a specified price level.

Cboe is the latest traditional finance firm to expand into prediction markets as investor interest in outcome-based contracts grows. The launch comes days after reports that Charles Schwab was seeking to enter the sector through a partnership with Cboe that would offer customers similar S&P 500-linked contracts.

Contracts tied to the S&P 500's daily closing price are already available on prediction market platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.

Cboe launches XSP Binary Options in prediction markets offering. Source: Cboe

Cboe’s customers are showing more demand for shorter-dated, outcome-based trading opportunities, which led to the debut of the prediction market offering, according to JJ Kinahan, head of retail expansion and alternative investment products at Cboe. 

Cboe’s new contracts are security options that will trade within the same regulatory framework as US-listed options, providing “institutional-grade liquidity” and transparency, Cboe said.

Meanwhile, prediction market platforms have drawn increased regulatory scrutiny over political betting and sports-related event contracts.

Kentucky was the latest state to sue five prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing them of “operating unlicensed and illegal sports betting and gambling platforms,” as Cointelegraph reported on Thursday.

In January, US lawmakers proposed legislation aimed at restricting political prediction market trading by government officials after a Polymarket user netted over $400,000 on a contract related to the removal of then-Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, fueling insider trading concerns.

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