克里姆林宫对美伊实现和平持怀疑态度,称其为“鲁莽”
Kremlin Skeptical That US-Iran Peace Can Be Achieved: 'Rash'

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/kremlin-skeptical-us-iran-peace-can-be-achieved-rash

俄罗斯联邦安全会议副主席德米特里·梅德韦杰夫继续扮演克里姆林宫“红脸”的角色,他近期否认了美国与伊朗之间存在持久和平的可能性。梅德韦杰夫称内塔尼亚胡政府是“靠战争维持的”,并认为任何潜在的协议本质上都是不稳定的,且容易受到以色列的挑衅。 他的言论反映了俄以关系更广泛的转变。尽管莫斯科过去曾在叙利亚代理人战争期间保持微妙的平衡以避免与以色列发生直接冲突,但如今双方关系已显著恶化。尽管俄伊联盟存在局限性,俄罗斯仍进一步加深了与伊朗的战略和军事伙伴关系。 随着阿萨德政权的垮台及其军事资产的撤出,俄罗斯在中东的影响力逐渐减弱。梅德韦杰夫的强硬立场凸显了克里姆林宫对以色列政策日益增长的敌意。由于俄罗斯在叙利亚的未来处境尚不明确,莫斯科似乎正进一步背离其此前保持的外交中立,转而更坚定地站在华盛顿地区议程的对立面。

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原文

If there's a 'good cop, bad cop' routine happening at the Kremlin, mostly assuredly the role of bad cop always falls to Russia's former president, Dmitry Medvedev. In his maximalist and hyperbolic threats, he can be seen as the "John Bolton of the Kremlin". 

With Trump's decision to wage war on Iran, Medvedev's negativity and skepticism has proven right more often than wrong. He is the latest Kremlin top official to weigh in on the bad position Washington once again finds itself embroiled in - and by it's own 'choice' - in the Middle East.

Medvedev, who has for the last several years been Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman, says an agreement between the US and Iran could easily be derailed by new provocations, and he took the opportunity to lash out at Israel, America's so-called indispensable ally.

via AP

He has said, within mere days of Iran and Washington signing their big Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) - which may or may not hold given ongoing fighting between Israel and Hezbollah - that expecting peace is "rash".

He has stated that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government is "sustained by war" - which is a bit of rare high level moment of the Kremlin lashing out at Israel.

"An unstable agreement easily explodes with new strikes on Lebanon or other provocations. And that’s exactly what the Netanyahu cabinet, which is sustained by war, needs. So, expecting peace is rash," Medvedev stated Saturday on the Russian social media platform Max.

Al Jazeera has reviewed:

Russia has deepened its existing ties with Iran since the start of the Ukraine war, with Moscow and Tehran expanding military and economic cooperation – though the partnership has shown limits, with Russia offering largely rhetorical support during Iran’s recent conflict with the US and Israel.

Israel and Russia were largely at odds during the entirety of the Syrian proxy war, with Israeli aerial aggression in Syria having at times resulted in Russian losses. 

For example, in September 2018, there was this serious incident when Syrian anti-air missiles sought to fire on inbound Israeli jets. Instead, a Russian reconnaissance plane went down:

The leaders of Russia and Israel have sought to defuse tension after a Russian plane was shot down by Syrian forces amid an Israeli air raid.

In a call to Vladimir Putin, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu expressed regret at the loss of 15 Russian personnel, but stressed again that Syria was to blame.

Mr Putin had earlier called the incident "a chain of tragic accidental circumstances". The Il-20 plane was downed over the Mediterranean Sea on Monday evening.

Russia had throughout the Syria war sought to carefully avoid a direct conflict with Israel, and after Assad's overthrow its forces have of necessity been in retreat from the Middle East.

Russia's military still has assets along Syria's coast, but the future of its presence remains very uncertain, having largely resorted to 'humanitarian' missions will seeking to open diplomacy with the new Sharaa government. 

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