关于人工智能与工作的思考
Thoughts on AI and Jobs

原始链接: https://blog.keyvan.net/p/thoughts-on-ai-and-jobs

作者认为,尽管失业带来的个人困境是悲剧性的,但现代就业制度本身不应被视为神圣不可侵犯。文章将工作描述为往往“扼杀灵魂”且缺乏民主,并批评了社会对“朝九晚五”劳动的迷恋,指出在“民主”的西方国家优先考虑此类结构是讽刺的。 作者主张,我们应该拥抱能减少人类劳动需求的技术,而不是努力保护传统职位。虽然作者对当前人工智能模型能否实现真正的人类水平智能(AGI)持怀疑态度,但强调人工智能已经非常有能力执行目前占据大多数受薪职位、重复性的“苦差事”。最终,作者指出,人类的许多独特性在企业环境中既未被利用,也不被需要。因此,虽然人工智能可能不会完全消灭就业,但由此产生的现状破坏应被视为一个潜在的机遇,而非内在的灾难。

Hacker News 上关于人工智能与就业的讨论,揭示了人们对技术进步的渴望与对经济生存焦虑之间的深刻张力。 许多参与者指出,尽管从理论上讲自动化应当提高生产力,但人们最关心的核心问题在于劳动与价值的脱钩。有人认为 AI 的独特性在于它取代了作为适应性核心驱动力的“人脑”,这可能使劳动者失去其经济相关性。另一些人则强调,从历史来看,生产力提升的成果往往流向了土地所有者或富人阶层,而工薪阶层却在生活成本上升的压力下挣扎,自身的议价能力也随之消散。 尽管一些参与者对人类能从“苦役”中解放出来表示乐观,但关于供养家庭和保障居所等现实生存问题的担忧在讨论中仍占据主导。怀疑论者指出,即便 AI 不会导致大规模失业,它也有可能将财富集中在企业所有者手中,从而加剧不平等。归根结底,这场辩论凸显了社会尚未达成共识:有些人将 AI 视为一种解放力量,而更多人则担忧它是一种财富集中的机制,使普通劳动者在分配中丧失了话语权。
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原文

I have sympathy for people worried about losing their livelihoods. But at the same time I struggle to sympathise with the idea that jobs themselves are something sacred we should be fighting for.

I've always found it odd how much of our lives is devoted to jobs. A job is simply a means of survival. Jobs are inherently undemocratic, often soul-crushing, and yet we can't seem to imagine life without them. Chomsky once pointed out the irony: Western societies pride themselves on democracy and point fingers at nations deemed undemocratic, yet are completely at peace with their own populations spending the vast majority of their productive hours inside top-down organisations, doing work handed down from above.

I don't want humans to suffer because of AI, but to assume that the institution of employment is the best we have going for us, and the thing we should all be striving to protect, is bizarre to me. Any technology that reduces the need for jobs should be celebrated, in my view.

(I told a friend recently that, for similar reasons, I find it difficult to celebrate efforts around finding work for Palestinians who've endured so much. It's well-intentioned, and people need income, but after everything they've gone through, I think it's sad that sometimes the best we can offer is a chance to hold down a 9-to-5 job.)

Yes. I don't think AI is intelligent the way humans are, and I don't think we'll ever get AGI (models with human intelligence), at least not based on the LLM approach we have today. So I agree with those who say AI can't and won't replace humans on that level. But people who hold that view often underestimate how much of salaried work today, including knowledge work, is essentially repetitive grunt work that AI, even in its current form, can already do. The reality is that much of what makes us uniquely human, the stuff AI can't do, is not needed, and not even wanted, when we're doing our jobs.

Rutger Bregman recently published a piece on the AI denial he’s witnessing. As someone who uses the latest AI models daily, I think he’s wrong about the exponential growth of AI capabilities. But I think current capabilities already have the potential to create massive change in the future of work.

I’m not saying that AI will lead to a future where companies will no longer hire people - new roles might emerge where AI is no good. But it can still create a lot of change to the way we work, and that’s not necessarily a bad thing.

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