联邦政府对加州选举展开调查
Feds Launch Probe Into California's Elections

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/political/feds-launch-probe-californias-elections

加利福尼亚州在初选后冗长的计票过程,因缺乏透明度和效率而招致强烈批评。与大多数能迅速得出结果的发达国家不同,加州往往需要数周时间来统计选票。数据分析师内特·西尔弗(Nate Silver)将这一趋势描述为州政府治理能力的失败。 该州对全民邮寄投票的依赖——即接受在选举日当天邮戳的选票,且在选举日后一周内仍有效——是造成延迟的主要原因。包括唐纳德·特朗普和联邦检察官比尔·埃萨利(Bill Essayli)在内的批评者认为,这一制度助长了结构性脆弱,侵蚀了公众信任,并可能引发欺诈。尽管州务卿雪莉·韦伯(Shirley Weber)为计票速度辩护,称这是为确保准确性而必须付出的代价,但观察人士指出,加州计票速度居全国之末,这正是系统性功能失调的证明。 针对有关选举公正性的担忧,美国加州中区联邦检察官办公室已对潜在的欺诈行为展开调查,并对选民名单进行了全面审计。随着计票工作的持续,这场辩论凸显了加州选举模式在优先考虑便利性的同时,是否以牺牲问责制和及时出结果为代价,这一问题引发了日益深刻的分歧。

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原文

Days after California’s primary election, the votes are still being counted, and the winners are still unknown, and no one, save for California officials, seems happy about it.

“The fact that California elections often can't be resolved for weeks is kind of insane and not common in other electoral systems around the world," Political data analyst Nate Silver wrote on X on Tuesday.

"Like honestly 'it's going to take us several weeks to tell you who won the election' is failed state sh-t and should be much more stigmatized. The fact that it's tolerated is bad too a textbook example of learned helplessness."

And President Donald Trump is now demanding answers.

Trump posted on Truth Social on Thursday, targeting what he called the deliberate manipulation of California's governor and Los Angeles mayoral races.

"There's BIG cheating by the Dumocrats in California. Votes are all tied up," he wrote.

"May not be in for weeks. Under investigation by the U.S. Attorney's Office in Los Angeles. Why the vote counting DELAY???" 

In a follow-up post, Trump escalated further.

"The Dumocrats are at it again! They are trying to STEAL THE GOVERNOR OF CALIFORNIA PRIMARY, AND THE MAYOR OF LOS ANGELES, PRIMARY, AWAY FROM TWO GREAT REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES."

He then singled out mail-in ballots specifically.

"Here we go with the very late and massive numbers of MAIL IN BALLOTS."

United States Attorney for the Central District of California, Bill Essayli, confirmed in a post on X that his office “has multiple election fraud investigations underway” in California, and is coordinating with the FBI in Los Angeles.

“California’s election system has serious structural vulnerabilities. Universal vote-by-mail with no voter ID requirements creates conditions where fraud can go undetected and unpunished, eroding public confidence,” he wrote.

In a post on Substack, Nate Silver noted that California averaged 38 percent of its votes counted after Election Day across the last five general elections. In the 2022 midterms, half of all votes were tallied post-Election Day. Silver did not spare California from the comparison its leaders apparently dread. "California likes to tout that it's larger than many countries," he wrote, "but most developed countries are able to wrap up nationwide elections more quickly than California can tabulate its votes. Colombia held a presidential election on Sunday, and 99.98 percent of the result was in on Monday morning. Japan also counts most of its votes overnight. And in the UK (not exactly a poster child for state capacity), you can generally expect to have calls for all 650 parliamentary seats the morning after the election."

Silver posted a chart showing that California is the slowest state in the nation to count votes.

California Secretary of State Shirley Weber offers a rather weak excuse for her state’s handling of elections.

"I know the value of being fast for some folks," she said. "For me, accuracy is far more important."

That line might land better if California's sluggishness were actually producing superior accuracy.

Still, Silver's data suggests the state's election administration has major structural problems regardless of how long the counting takes.

 The state began nudging counties toward all-mail elections in 2016, applied the model statewide during the pandemic in 2020, and finally made it permanent in 2022. Under current California law, every registered voter automatically receives a mail ballot, and any ballot postmarked by Election Day and received within a week afterward counts as valid. Each of those ballots must be individually opened, verified, and processed before it can be tabulated. The result is a counting operation that drags on for weeks while the rest of the country waits. The system California guarantees maximum delay and minimum accountability, all while breeding distrust in the system. 

U.S. Attorney Essayli says his office is conducting a “comprehensive audit” of California’s voter rolls, and will “not look the other way” from fraud, and promised that his office will “investigate and prosecute.”

 “Every legal vote deserves to be counted,” he said. “Every illegal vote cancels one out.”

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