美国特种部队士兵因涉嫌在马杜罗突袭行动中赢得40万美元被捕。
US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

原始链接: https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/23/politics/us-special-forces-soldier-arrested-maduro-raid-trade

美国陆军主士官冈农·肯·范戴克被捕并被指控涉及内幕交易,与捕获委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗有关。检察官指控范戴克在“绝对决心行动”期间利用其接触到的机密信息,在预测市场Polymarket上下注,赌注金额约为3.2万美元,赌马杜罗将在1月份前被下台。 他成功预测了结果,赢得了超过40万美元,随后据称将这笔钱转移到外国加密货币金库和在线经纪账户,以掩盖资金来源。商品期货交易委员会也已提起诉讼,寻求处罚。 此案凸显了对地缘政治事件投注以及潜在滥用敏感政府信息以谋取个人利益的日益增长的担忧。Polymarket配合了调查,并坚持对内幕交易零容忍政策,而立法者正在考虑对预测市场实施更严格的监管。

一名美国特种部队士兵因多项罪名被逮捕并起诉——包括非法使用机密政府信息、盗窃、商品欺诈和电汇欺诈——据称他利用对委内瑞拉计划突袭的内幕消息,在预测市场(Polymarket)上赢得了40万美元。讨论的重点在于核心问题是泄露机密信息还是从中获利,以及为何该士兵被起诉,而其他可能从事类似行为的人(如国会议员或高级官员)却常常不受追究。 许多评论员质疑法律选择性执行的问题,指出存在感知到的双重标准以及财富和权力的影响。一些人认为,Polymarket本身不是问题,而是机密信息的滥用。另一些人则争论预测市场是否本质上存在问题,因为它们可能被操纵并激励有害结果。此案引发了对安全风险以及当机密信息被用于个人利益时可能破坏国家安全的担忧。
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原文

A US special forces soldier involved in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was arrested and charged for allegedly betting on that operation, netting him $400,000 in profits.

According to an indictment unsealed Thursday, Master Sgt. Gannon Ken Van Dyke opened an account in late December on Polymarket, one of the best-known prediction markets. He wagered about $32,000 that Maduro would be “out” by January. The bet was a long-shot.

But Van Dyke was involved in the planning and execution of Operation Absolute Resolve, prosecutors allege, and had access to classified information before he placed the bet. His winnings, though anonymous, caught the attention of law enforcement almost immediately.

Van Dyke, an active duty solider stationed at Fort Bragg, faces five criminal charges for stealing and misusing confidential government information, theft and fraud. He will make his first court appearance in North Carolina. No attorney has been listed for him on the court docket.

He allegedly made 13 bets from December 27 to January 2, the last being hours before the overnight capture. Prosecutors said Van Dyke sent his more than $400,000 in profits to a foreign cryptocurrency vault before he deposited them in an online brokerage account.

A master sergeant in the Army is a senior noncommissioned officer, considered a key tactical leader and technical expert and serving as the principal NCO typically at the Army battalion level. Senior NCOs are often looked to for setting and upholding the standard for more junior soldiers in the unit.

US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400,000 on Maduro raid

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“Those entrusted to safeguard our nation’s secrets have a duty to protect them and our armed service members, and not to use that information for personal financial gain,” said Jay Clayton, US attorney for the Southern District of New York.

Van Dyke was photographed just after the operation – and from when he placed his final bet – on “what appears to be the deck of a ship at sea, at sunrise wearing U.S. military fatigues, and carrying a rifle, standing alongside three other individuals wearing U.S. military fatigues,” court documents say.

Van Dyke profited more than $400,000, prosecutors say. He then allegedly moved those winnings to a foreign cryptocurrency vault before he deposited them in an online brokerage account in what prosecutors called an attempt to conceal their origin.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed a related complaint against Van Dyke on Thursday, seeking restitution, disgorgement and civil monetary penalties.

CNN reported last month that federal prosecutors were investigating the Maduro trade, according to a person familiar with the matter. The chiefs of the securities and commodity fraud unit at the US attorney’s office in Manhattan met with representatives at Polymarket last month.

After the bets were placed, the US military launched a covert operation that extradited Maduro from the presidential palace in Caracas in an overnight capture while coming under heavy fire. Maduro was transported to New York to face federal drug-trafficking related charges. He has pleaded not guilty.

Polymarket in a post on X said, “When we identified a user trading on classified government information, we referred the matter to the DOJ & cooperated with their investigation. Insider trading has no place on Polymarket. Today’s arrest is proof the system works.”

ABC News first reported Thursday’s arrest.

Trading on prediction markets has exploded the past year, with users now spending a few billion dollars each week on such sites.

Lawmakers in Congress have introduced more than a dozen new bills this year to further regulate prediction markets. Some of the bills, which gained bipartisan support, would stiffen penalties against government officials who engage in insider trading.

Trump told reporters Thursday he is concerned about the growing trend of betting on geopolitical events. Asked about the charges against the US soldier, the president said he was not familiar with the specifics of the incident but compared it to baseball’s all-time hit leader Pete Rose.

“That’s like Pete Rose betting on his own team,” Trump said, referring to the late baseball player who was banned from baseball for gambling.

Pressed on whether he is concerned about betting tied to the war with Iran, Trump said it’s a global issue.

“Well I think that the whole world, unfortunately, has become somewhat of a casino,” Trump said, adding that such betting is happening “all over the world, and every place they’re doing these betting things.”

“Now, I think that I’m not happy with it,” he concluded.

The Trump administration approved Polymarket last year to start offering trades for American customers, but its US-facing site isn’t fully operational yet. The Maduro-related trades occurred on Polymarket’s highly popular international site.

That site operates out of the reach of US regulations – which is how it’s able to offer markets related to war, which is illegal under federal law. But experts say Americans can easily access the offshore site with a virtual private network, or VPN.

There is a debate in the prediction market industry over the role of insiders in prediction markets. Some experts see these markets as a vehicle for information to flow more freely from insiders to the general public.

Asked about insider trading risks, Polymarket’s CEO told Axios in November it was “super cool” that his platform “creates this financial incentive for people to go and divulge the information to the market,” including insiders.

Polymarket rolled out new rules in March, to “clarify three core categories of prohibited insider trading conduct.”

They banned trades based on information that users were legally required to keep confidential, and trades based on tips from someone with the same obligation. They also said people in “a position of authority or influence” to affect the outcome of an event cannot participate in any related markets.

This story has been updated with additional details.

CNN’s Marshall Cohen, Haley Britzky and Alejandria Jaramillo contributed to this report.

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