``` 金属冲击:海湾地区最大的铝生产商宣布不可抗力。 ```
Metal Shock: Gulf's Largest Aluminum Producer Declares Force Majeure

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/metal-shock-gulfs-largest-aluminum-producer-declares-force-majeure

在伊朗袭击导致其塔韦拉冶炼厂停产后,全球主要铝生产商(全球供应量的4%,中东地区的9%)阿联酋全球铝业公司(EGA)已对部分合同宣布*不可抗力*。这表明供应链中断正在从能源领域扩展到工业金属领域。 此次停产与霍尔木兹海峡持续的干扰(目前仍面临有限的交通)相结合,正在显著收紧全球铝供应。伦敦金属交易所(LME)铝期货价格已较去年同期上涨50%,专家预测价格将进一步上涨。 EGA的举动凸显了区域生产的脆弱性以及如果霍尔木兹咽喉要道未能完全重新开放,可能出现更广泛的减产。高盛分析师詹姆斯·麦吉奥奇等分析师预计,此次供应冲击将推动对铝期货的进一步投资。

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原文

A little more than a week after Emirates Global Aluminum (EGA), the Gulf's largest aluminum producer, halted operations at its Al Taweelah smelter following Iranian missile and drone strikes, EGA has now declared force majeure on parts of its contract book, signaling that supply chain disruptions are spreading beyond energy markets and into industrial metals.

Bloomberg obtained new documents showing that EGA invoked force majeure clauses to suspend at least some deliveries after Iranian drone and missile strikes damaged the Taweelah smelter and forced it to shut down operations.

EGA is jointly owned by Mubadala Investment Company of Abu Dhabi and the Investment Corporation of Dubai, and it reported 2.83 million tons of cast metal sales in 2025, indicating on its website that it accounted for 4% of the world's aluminum production. The broader Middle East accounts for about 9% of global aluminum supply.

The EGA outage adds to mounting pressure on the global aluminum market, which was already strained by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz for six weeks, and still, as of this weekend, muted traffic flows through the critical waterway. Producers across the region now risk broader production cuts unless the maritime chokepoint fully reopens with no tolls. 

Aluminum futures on the London Metal Exchange have surged since the strikes, with LME Aluminum trading up 50% from a year ago. The force majeure from EGA, as well as continued Hormuz chokepoint disruptions, signals tighter global supplies that may send prices even higher.

Earlier this month, Goldman commodity specialist James McGeoch told clients, "Hard to think of a bigger metal supply shock: High degree of expectation this was where it was heading, but the initial reaction was to fade the uncertainty yesterday, that should be replaced by fresh length if history is a guide."

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