10年期国债拍卖尾部下行,海外需求减少。
10Y Auction Tails As Foreign Demand Dips

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/10y-auction-tails-foreign-demand-dips

财政部最近的390亿美元10年期国债拍卖被认为表现平平,此前昨日的3年期国债拍卖表现强劲。最高收益率达到4.282%,为自8月以来的最高水平,略高于市场预期(高出0.2个基点)。 尽管需求保持在合理水平,投标覆盖率为2.429,但较之前的拍卖有所下降。投资者参与度发生显著变化:外国需求大幅减少,而直接竞标者(国内投资者)的购买量增加至1月以来的最高水平。交易商的持仓量保持稳定。 总体而言,此次拍卖并非特别疲软,考虑到近期收益率的下降,定价是合适的,市场反应也微乎其微。需求的变化表明10年期国债市场投资者行为可能正在发生变化。

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原文

After yesterday's impressive 3Y auction, moments ago the Treasury sold $39 billion in benchmark, 10Y paper, in what was a mediocre auction.

The auction, a 9-Year 10-Month reopening of cusip CPX8, stopped at a high yield of 4.282%, up from 4.217% last month and the highest since last August. It also tailed the When Issued 4.280% by 0.2bps, the third consecutive tail in a row.

The bid to cover dipped to 2.429 from 2.449, and was also below the six-auction average of 2.48.

The internals also disappointed, as foreign demand slumped from March with Indirects awarded 65.32%, down from 74.45%, and below the recent average of 68.78%. Directs offset much of this drop, rising to 23.88%, almost double the 12.83% in March and the highest since January. Dealers were left holding 10.8%, down from 12.7% the previous month, but in line with the average of 10.05%.

Overall this was a slightly subpar auction, especially after yesterday's stellar 3Y auction, but in light of the bid drop in yields across the curve and the lack of concession, it priced roughly where it should have and the market has barely reacted as one would expect.

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