丑陋的7年期国债拍卖,自9月以来投标覆盖率最低,尾部溢价最大,达到2024年以来最高水平。
Ugly 7Y Auction Has Lowest Bid To Cover Since September, Biggest Tail Since 2024

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ugly-7y-auction-has-lowest-bid-cover-september-biggest-tail-2024

财政部最近对7年期国债的440亿美元拍卖显示,需求持续疲软,为国债拍卖周收官带来挑战。最高收益率达到4.255%,为2025年1月以来最高水平,并超过市场预期(出现比平时更大的“尾部”)。 需求全面减弱。投标覆盖率降至九个月低点,间接竞标者(通常为外国买家)的参与度降至一年多来的最低水平。虽然并非完全崩盘,但直接竞标者的兴趣也下降,导致交易商参与度增加。 此次拍卖表明外国对美国债务的兴趣正在减弱,可能因为他们正在清算资产,并且对资助不断增长的美国赤字变得更加犹豫。总体而言,结果表明人们对国债拍卖需求持续存在担忧,借贷成本正在上升。

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原文

After two "terrible" coupon auctions earlier this week, moments ago the Treasury concluded the week's final auction when it sold $44 billion in 7 Year paper. It may not have been quite as terrible as the previous two, but it wasn't much stronger either.

Starting at the top, the auction stopped with a high yield of 4.255%, up sharply from 3.790% in February and the highest since Jan 2025. It also tailed the When Issued 4.247% by 0.8bps, the biggest tail since August 2024.

The bid to cover was 2.432, down from 2.498 last month and the lowest since Sept 2025.

Internals were also ugly as Indirects were awarded just 62.56%, down from 63.57% and the lowest since December 2025. And with Directs dipping (but not as much as the 2Y auction earlier this week which saw a collapse) from 26.01% to 25.03%, Dealers rose to 12.41%, the highest since last November.

Overall, this was another very ugly auction and while foreign demand wasn't catastrophic it certainly was on the light side, suggesting that in addition to liquidating other hard assets, foreign buyers are becoming cautious with putting more money to funding the US deficit.

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