美国服务业调查显示二月份出现滞胀:价格上涨,增长放缓
US Services Surveys Signal Stagflation In Feb: Higher Prices, Slower Growth

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/us-services-surveys-signal-stagflation-feb-higher-prices-slower-growth

根据两项不同的调查,2月份美国服务业的绩效衡量指数略有下降:标准普尔全球的服务采购经理指数(PMI)从1月份的52.5下降至52.3(修订后)。 与此同时,供应管理协会(ISM)服务业指数从1月份的53.4%下降至52.6%,低于预期。 2月份该行业的就业人数出现萎缩。 标准普尔全球首席商业经济学家克里斯·威廉姆森表示,尽管消费需求强劲,经济持续快速增长,但物价压力再次浮现。 因此,这些结果表明美国可能正在经历一段以增长停滞和物价高企为特征的滞胀时期。 对成本上涨的担忧仍然存在,因为鲍威尔等关键人物需要密切关注这些趋势。 然而,积极的数据凸显了消费者持续的信心。 总体而言,制造业信号好坏参半,加上对价格上涨和服务业增长放缓的担忧,表明经济面临持续挑战。

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原文

After the mixed Manufacturing survey picture (ISM puked, PMI spiked), who knows what we'll get from the Services surveys today.

  • S&P Global's Services PMI fell from 52.5 in January to 52.3 (final) in February, but we note that is up from the 51.3 preliminary print in early Feb.

  • ISM's Services survey also fell from 53.4 in January to 52.6 in Feb, below the 53.0 expectations.

Source: Bloomberg

Under the hood, ISM's survey saw employment fall back into contraction at 48.0.

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said:

"A further robust expansion of service sector activity in February follows news of faster manufacturing output growth. The goods and services producing sectors are collectively reporting the sharpest growth since last June, hinting at a further quarter of solid GDP growth.

"The acceleration occurred despite a cooling of growth in financial services, linked to the recent pull-back in rate cut expectations. Demand for consumer goods and services has, however, picked up further in February amid the easing of the cost of living crisis and healthy labor market conditions, meaning consumers are once again at the forefront of the economic expansion. "

However, it's not all rainbows and soft-landing unicorns

"A concern is that alongside this faster growth, the survey has seen price pressures revive.

Although average prices are still rising at one of the slowest rates seen over the past four years, the rate of inflation picked up for goods and services alike in February to hint at some broad-based firming of price pressures that could worry policymakers about cutting interest rates too early."

So, to summarize, slower growth in services, mixed manufacturing, and higher prices in both... paging Mr. Powell.

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