情节反转:科威特战斗机击落了三架美国F-15。
Plot Twist: Kuwaiti Fighter Jet Shot Down All Three US F-15s

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/plot-twist-kuwaiti-fighter-jet-shot-down-all-three-us-f-15s

最新报告显示,科威特的一架F/A-18超级大黄蜂战机于周日在科威特上空击落了三架美国F-15E攻击鹰战机,这与最初的“友军误射”事件说法(涉及爱国者导弹阵地)发生了重大转变。科威特飞行员响应伊朗无人机激增——其中一架导致六名美国陆军预备役士兵丧生——在极度拥挤的空域中通过雷达探测到这些F-15战机后对其进行了交战。 所有六名美国飞行员安全跳伞,但其中一人遭遇当地居民的敌对行为。此次事件标志着F-15战机首次在空战中被击落,结束了此前104-0的不败记录。 调查人员正在关注潜在的通讯故障、识别系统故障以及缺乏整合的防空频率等因素。专家认为,科威特飞行员可能使用了热寻导弹,这给F-15飞行员几乎没有预警时间。虽然伊朗声称对此负责,但其更广泛的地区侵略行为被认为是导致局势升级的关键催化剂。

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原文

In a remarkable feat, a single Kuwaiti F/A-18 Super Hornet took out all three of the American F-15s that were shot down over Kuwait on Sunday, according to sources who spoke to the Wall Street Journal. The new narrative replaces the initial reports that attributed the shootdowns to a Kuwaiti Patriot missile battery. 

Launching just three missiles, a single pilot went three-for-three, destroying the trio of F-15E Strike Eagles, which were purchased for something like a combined $93 million in 1998 dollars, or $187 million today. New F-15EX models go for about $100 million apiece. All six crew members parachuted safely in Kuwaiti territory, though one of them had an unsettling reception from a pipe-wielding Kuwaiti who may have mistaken him for an Iranian pilot:  

The incident happened shortly after an Iranian drone hit a US tactical operations center in Kuwait, killing six US Army Reserve soldiers, say the Journal's sources, who are familiar with the initial reports on the mishap. With many other drones having swarmed the area, when an amped-up Kuwaiti pilot saw jets on his radar, he started blasting.

The airspace in the theater of operations is a madhouse, packed with fighter jets, bombers, reconnaissance craft, fuel tankers, drones, cruise missiles, HIMARS rockets, interceptor missiles, and incoming Iranian missiles and drones. “It’s a busy, busy air environment, and in times of stress, tension, crisis, and, certainly in this case, conflict, even more so,” retired US Air Force B-52 bomber pilot Mark Gunzinger told the Journal.

Retired Army Lt. Gen. Dan Karbler, who led the Army's Space and Missile Defense Command provided additional perspective on these types of incidents and what investigators will look at: 

A fratricide incident like the one in Kuwait usually happens because of several breakdowns in communication or failures in equipment, Karbler said. Investigators will be looking to see if the aircraft friend-or-foe transponders, which are supposed to broadcast the information about a plane electronically, were working properly. Other factors are whether the Kuwaitis knew the planned flight paths of the American jets, whether the aircraft themselves were flying the correct routes and whether Kuwait was able to talk to the F-15s, either electronically or by voice...

“It’s all the more complicated when you have different air defense systems operating on different frequencies that aren’t integrated, and some of those systems are actively trying to counter threats such as drones,” he said.

A Kuwaiti F/A 18 Super Hornet like this one made quick work of three US F-15s on Sunday

The incident will hang an asterisk on the F-15's otherwise flawless record, with none of the craft ever having been shot down in air-to-air combat -- going 104-0 since they were introduced in the 1970s. Military aviation wonks are taking a keen interest in the particulars of Sunday's incident. For example, here's TWZ's Tyler Rogoway: 

Three shoot-downs and everyone made it out alive sounds like tail-aspect shots made by smaller yield weapons. Also, if the Super Hornet employed passive heat seeking missiles (AIM-9 Sidewinder), the F-15E pilots would not have known they were being engaged until the weapon detonated. There are caveats to this, including if the Hornet had used its radar to assist in the Sidewinder lock. But Kuwaiti Hornets were clearly in the airspace at the time defending against drones, so even being painted by their radar may not have indicated how serious the situation was about to become.

Iran has claimed its forces shot down the F-15s. Of course, even if the Iranian military didn't fire the weapons that doomed the three craft, Iran's strategy of responding to unprovoked Israeli-US warfare by lashing out at countries all around the region certainly precipitated the disaster. 

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