以色列官员直言伊朗目标:“如果能爆发内战,那就最好。”
Israel Officials Get Blunt On Iran Aims: 'If We Can Have A Civil War, Great'

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-officials-get-blunt-iran-aims-if-we-can-have-civil-war-great

最近美国媒体对以色列和伊朗冲突的报道受到批评,因为它呈现了一种过于简单,甚至虚构的叙述,类似于间谍惊悚片。 标题暗示以色列正在战略性地削弱伊朗的安全部队,以煽动民众起义和政权更迭——这种描述被描绘成一项崇高的努力。 然而,这种乐观的观点与以色列官员自身的评估形成了鲜明对比。 《金融时报》等来源的报道揭示了一种更愤世嫉俗的策略:以色列的主要目标不是对伊朗产生某种特定结果,而是制造混乱——可能通过政变、内战或广泛的动荡——以 destabilize 政权,并使其注意力转向内部。 以色列专家承认这是一项漫长而艰难的军事行动,预计将进行“为期数周的猛攻”,并认识到伊朗的规模和韧性。 美国媒体叙述与以色列观点之间的这种脱节,引发了对围绕冲突的信息准确性和潜在操纵的担忧。

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原文

US mainstream media is issuing one headline after another that read like they are ripped straight off the plot of Homeland or some other subpar CIA counter-terrorism series. For example, Wednesday: Israel Is Blowing Up Iran’s Police State to Clear the Way for a Revolt.

In a bit of incredibly naive and wishful thinking and fantasy, WSJ writes: "Israel’s military is targeting the Iranian police state that brutally suppressed protests and killed thousands of people, with the hope of clearing the way for a popular revolt to overthrow the Islamic government."

Sure thing... it all sounds so nice and easy, and even 'good' on paper.

In this rosy US media narrative, Israeli and US forces are cast as the noble good guy warriors riding in to valiantly to crush the 'baddies' of the IRGC and Basij forces.

"Israeli officials have made it clear they are looking to do enough damage to Iran’s police state from the air that the people can take over on the ground. While Israel has long been content to weaken Tehran with military action or covert operations, Israeli officials have concluded they now must push for regime change," the same report continues.

The Israelis, however, are busy presenting their war in aims with much less romanticism, idealism, and dressed-up propaganda. 

Associated Press

Yet for all of these noble humanitarian goals - a separate report, this one in Financial Times, presents things with quite a bit more cold realism, laying out how Israeli officials actually think and view the situation:

For Israel, "If we can have a coup, great. If we can have people on the streets, great. If we can have a civil war, great. Israel couldn’t care less about the future …or the stability of Iran."

That's the assessment of Danny Citrinowicz, listed as an Iran expert and senior researcher at Tel Aviv’s Institute for National Security Studies.

The report further makes clear Israel is preparing at the very least for a "multi-week military onslaught" to dismantle the Iranian state.

And they are at least a tad more realistic compared to their American counterparts:

A former senior Israeli official who is familiar with the current war plans warned that "this will take time . . . There is a lot of work to be done. Iran is huge."

These Israeli officials are stating it bluntly on the record: the goal is to sow chaos, fragmentation, and sectarian hell inside Iran - akin to what happened in Syria:

Removing Iran’s ability to threaten Israel — primarily via missiles and a nascent nuclear programme — was the “obvious” endgame, but even more important to Israel’s government, Citrinowicz added, was “undermining this regime [so] it has to deal with internal problems”.

When you've lost something as establishment as The Telegraph:

Of course, there's a flip side to this, given the likelihood of the Americans and Israelis suffering severe setbacks, casualties, and damage in the face of Iran's resistance, which appears to somewhat already be happening.

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