巴菲特对高要价犹豫不决,让标准普尔 500 指数成为焦点
Buffett Balking At Stiff Asking Price Puts Spotlight On S&P 500

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/buffett-balking-stiff-asking-price-puts-spotlight-sp-500

沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司以投资闻名,由于难以以公平的价格找到有价值的企业,目前持有近 1680 亿美元的现金。 这突显了人们对股市能否继续表现良好的担忧,因为标准普尔 500 指数在美联储加息周期期间上涨了 20%,而实体股票则面临着对科技巨头的青睐情绪日益高涨的挑战。 尽管如此,纳斯达克100指数和标准普尔500指数的市盈率均达到33倍,但考虑到伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的财务状况,在与投资选择相关的决策中应谨慎行事。 巴菲特在最近致股东的信中表示,尽管发现了潜在的机会,但在部署大量资本之前还必须考虑估值。

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原文

By Ven Ram, Bloomberg markets live reporter and strategist

Brick-and-mortar stocks are getting swept up in the hysteria surrounding technology names, but the S&P 500 can’t forever outperform the US economy — with even Warren Buffett unable to find stocks to buy at sensible prices.

The equity benchmark has already totted up 7% in gains in just the first two months of the year, taking its advance since the Federal Reserve started raising rates in this cycle to about 20% — a period when you would think rising interest rates would have acted like gravity to pull down stocks from their highs. With the Nasdaq 100 moving along like a veritable juggernaut, there are no prizes for guessing that sentiment is often a more powerful driver than fundamentals.

Even so, it’s worth noting what Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has been doing in the past few years: building up its arsenal of cash and short-term investments when it can’t find meaningful businesses to invest in at reasonable prices. Its cash pile surged some 30% at the end of last year to almost $168 billion — the clearest indication that the legendary investor is waiting for an inflection point in the markets.

In his annual letter to shareholders delivered over the weekend, Buffett wrote:

“There remain only a handful of companies in this country capable of truly moving the needle at Berkshire, and they have been endlessly picked over by us and by others. Some we can value; some we can’t. And, if we can, they have to be attractively priced.”

Here’s one of the smartest investors hinting that he is unable to deploy Berkshire’s massive cash hoard in meaningful size, even though the rest of the world seems to be charging ahead with nary a concern about how this might all end.


 
At current levels, the Nasdaq 100 is trading at a P/E of some 33x, and the S&P 500 is just following in tow. But when some of the best minds in finance can’t deploy their cash meaningfully, it may be time to turn a bit cautious.

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