“战争独角兽”的崛起,以及大型国防企业面临的“适应或灭亡”时刻。
Rise Of "War Unicorns" As Big Defense Primes Face An "Adapt Or Die" Moment

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/military/rise-war-unicorns-big-defense-primes-face-adapt-or-die-moment

战争部长皮特·海格塞斯正在对战争部(DoW)的采购流程进行重大改革,优先考虑速度和创新,以增强军事优势。这种转变远离了传统的、大型国防承包商,转向了敏捷的国防科技初创公司——被称为“战争独角兽”,如安杜里尔工业公司,估值超过10亿美元。 陆军部长丹·德里斯科尔直言,成熟的承包商必须适应新的、更快节奏的系统,该系统侧重于现货商业组件以及按时、低于预算的交付,否则将面临失去未来合同的风险。乌克兰战争凸显了现成、适应性强的技术(如无人机和地面机器人)的重要性,这影响了这一变化。 对这些国防科技初创公司的投资已经激增了200%,预计还将大幅增加。战争部旨在将这些“独角兽”整合为关键能力提供者,促进持续创新,同时为现代战争不断演变的态势做好准备。这预示着成熟公司将竞相收购或与有前途的初创公司合作。

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原文

"Rebuilding our military and reestablishing credible deterrence demands the Department of War (DoW) put our Acquisition System and Enterprise on a wartime footing and dramatically accelerate the fielding of new technology and advanced capabilities to maintain the military superiority of our Armed Forces," Secretary of War Pete Hegseth announced in his November acquisition reform package.

Translation: The DoW under Pete Hegseth and the rest of the procurement process is moving away from bloated legacy defense primes toward defense tech startups, creating the next boom that is already underway, giving rise to "war unicorns" like Palmer Luckey's Anduril Industries.

Adding further color to the DoW's procurement process reset is a conversation Army Secretary Dan Driscoll had with Bloomberg earlier this week.

Driscoll said that major US defense contractors must adapt to a revamped DoW procurement process or risk being displaced by firms that have historically stayed outside defense contracting.

"They have got to adapt and change or die, and we will hold them publicly accountable if they don't," Driscoll said, adding, "It does not mean we don't need them today, but it does mean we might not need them tomorrow."

The Army's new direction is for companies outside the defense world - and even startups - that can deliver products on time and under budget that have more commercial off-the-shelf components and platforms, reducing reliance onspecialized systems that lock the military into a narrow supplier base.

Driscoll cites Ukraine as an example of companies retooling production lines for war and using off-the-shelf components to innovate war tech.

Defense news website 19fortyfive recently outlined that capital investment in defense tech startups surged 200% in the first year of President Trump's second term. That number is expected to go even more parabolic this year.

Here's more from the outlet:

The capital flow has inspired a new term: "war unicorns." In the finance world, a "unicorn" is a privately held company that is valued at $1 billion or more. A "war unicorn" is an American company with a significant share of defense business. "These billion-dollar beasts are rewriting the rules of modern warfare, blending Silicon Valley speed and tech with battlefield grit," wrote Pete Modigliani and Matt Macgregor in their Substack piece listing 22 of Silicon Valley's top national security companies.

The task for Deputy Secretary of Defense Stephen Feinberg and his team is to set the path for unicorns to thrive as workhorses, delivering capability year after year while continuing to innovate.

The shift away from big defense primes in the DoW's procurement process comes as the war in Ukraine has given military planners and strategists an uncomfortable preview of what conflict in the 2030s could look like. It's not just about expensive stealth jets and bombers and big fancy missiles and cannons. It's about ground robots, drones, and consumer-grade products that can easily be weaponized. 

Now, big defense primes and anyone else who can read the tea leaves will be in a race to find Anduril-like defense startups.

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