亿万富翁瑞·达利欧警告称,没有隐私的CBDC终将到来。
'No Privacy' CBDCs Will Come, Warns Billionaire Ray Dalio

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/no-privacy-cbdcs-will-come-warns-billionaire-ray-dalio

亿万富翁对冲基金经理雷·达利欧警告称,尽管存在潜在缺点,但央行数字货币(CBDC)很可能到来。虽然它能提供类似于货币市场基金的便捷交易,但达利欧警告说,它可能不会提供利息,并且会将所有金融活动暴露在政府监管之下。 他强调了政府控制力可能增强的潜力,从而实现直接征税、外汇管制,甚至能够“关闭”被认为“政治上不受欢迎”的人的访问权限。尽管美国CBDC目前被特朗普总统的一项行政命令阻止,但许多国家——包括中国、俄罗斯和印度——正在积极测试或开发它们。 目前,只有尼日利亚、牙买加和巴哈马正式推出了CBDC,但全球趋势表明更广泛的采用是可能的,这引发了对金融隐私和政府权力的担忧。达利欧强调需要围绕这些影响进行辩论。

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原文

Authored by Martin Young via CoinTelegraph.com,

American billionaire and hedge fund manager Ray Dalio has warned that central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are coming, offering benefits but also potentially allowing governments to exert more control over people’s finances.

“I think it will be done,” said Dalio on CBDCs in a wide-ranging interview on the Tucker Carlson Show on Monday, which also included topics on the US debt crisis, gold prices, and even a potential civil war. 

Ray Dalio is a billionaire hedge fund manager who has been co-chief investment officer of Bridgewater Associates since 1985, after founding the firm in 1975. 

During the interview, Dalio said CBDCs could be appealing due to the ease of transactions, likening them to money market funds in terms of functionality, but he also cautioned about their downsides.

He said there will be a debate, but CBDCs “probably won’t” offer interest, so they will not be “an effective vehicle to hold because you’ll have the depreciation [of the dollar].”

Dalio also cautioned that all CBDC transactions will be known to the government, which is good for controlling illegal activity, but also provides a great deal of control in other areas. 

“There will be no privacy, and it's a very effective controlling mechanism by the government.”

Ray Dalio talks CBDCs with Tucker Carlson. Source: YouTube

Taxation, forex controls and political debanking 

A programmable digital currency will enable the government to tax directly, “they can take your money,” and establish foreign exchange controls, he said. 

That will be an “increasing issue,” particularly for international holders of that currency, as the government can seize funds from nationals of sanctioned countries. 

Dalio also said that you could be “shut off” from a CBDC if you were “politically disfavored.” 

An American CBDC is unlikely to be deployed in the near future, as US President Donald Trump has been vocally opposed to them

Soon after taking office in January 2025, Trump signed an executive order prohibiting “the establishment, issuance, circulation, and use” of a US CBDC. 

Only three countries have launched a CBDC 

According to the Atlantic Council’s CBDC tracker, only three countries have officially launched a CBDC: Nigeria, Jamaica, and The Bahamas. 

Another 49 countries are testing CBDCs, including China, Russia, India and Brazil. Twenty nations have a CBDC in development, and 36 are still researching central bank digital currencies.

India’s central bank reportedly proposed an initiative in January linking BRICS CBDCs to facilitate cross-border trade and tourism payments. 

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