迈克尔·伯里再次做出了两笔押注,押空英伟达和帕兰蒂尔。
Michael Burry is back with two bets against Nvidia and Palantir

原始链接: https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/05/business/nvidia-palantir-michael-burry-stock

迈克尔·伯里,这位以预测2008年房地产危机(《大空头》)而闻名的投资者,现在正在押注当前人工智能繁荣的破灭。他的基金Scion Asset Management最近披露了大量“看跌期权”购买——押注股票将下跌,总额超过10亿美元,涉及英伟达和帕兰蒂尔这两家领先的人工智能公司。 此举表明伯里认为人工智能股票被高估,并可能处于泡沫之中,这反映了对科技估值膨胀和市场过度依赖少数大型公司的担忧。最近的市场下跌,包括纳斯达克自8月以来最糟糕的一天,似乎与这些焦虑相符。 尽管帕兰蒂尔报告了强劲的收益,但其股价仍大幅下跌,凸显了投资者的敏感性。伯里重返社交媒体,发布了《大空头》中的一张照片,并附上了一条关于泡沫的神秘信息,这先于美国证券交易委员会的备案,放大了影响。尽管伯里偶尔也会做出错误的判断,但他的言论在华尔街上仍然具有重要影响力,引发了辩论,并加剧了对人工智能市场可持续性的关注。

## 迈克尔·伯里做空英伟达和帕兰蒂尔:摘要 以成功押注2008年房地产市场崩盘而闻名的迈克尔·伯里,据报道已采取新的空头头寸——做空英伟达和帕兰蒂尔。根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的文件,他在英伟达购买了价值1.876亿美元的看跌期权,在帕兰蒂尔购买了价值9.12亿美元的看跌期权。然而,评论员指出,13F报告显示的是期权的*价值*,而不是实际支付的权利金,这意味着实际的赌注规模可能更小。 讨论的中心是期权交易的复杂性以及伯里时机判断失误可能造成的重大损失。维持空头头寸会产生成本(希腊字母Theta衰减),并且需要准确预测价格下跌。 许多用户警告不要盲目追随伯里,指出他在《大空头》之后的业绩参差不齐,以及空头交易固有的风险。 对话还涉及帕兰蒂尔的关联以及更广泛的AI市场炒作,质疑当前的估值是否合理。最终,该讨论强调了这些赌注的投机性以及理解相关风险的重要性。
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原文

Michael Burry, the famed investor behind “The Big Short,” is betting artificial intelligence is more of a bubble than a revolution.

Burry’s fund, Scion Asset Management, disclosed on Monday that it bought puts — bets that share prices will fall — on two stars of the AI wave: Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). Scion bought roughly $187.6 million in puts on Nvidia and $912 million in puts on Palantir, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings.

Burry is known for his prophetic call that the US housing market would collapse in 2008. He was profiled in the 2010 book “The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine,” by Michael Lewis, and portrayed by Christian Bale in the 2015 film adaptation.

Now Burry is betting against the hottest AI stocks on the market at a time when concerns are mounting about a bubble. Tech and AI stocks have carried the market in recent months. The S&P 500, which is increasingly concentrated in tech companies, is trading at historically expensive levels.

Meanwhile, the circular financing of AI deals has raised eyebrows on Wall Street, with many tech companies entwined in a massive web of deals with each other. Some investors are also skeptical whether future profit growth will continue to justify the enormous amounts of spending taking place.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.04% on Tuesday, posting its worst day since August. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 fell 1.17%.

Burry made a splash among investors on Thursday, when he posted on X for the first time since 2023. In his post, he shared a photo of Bale portraying him in “The Big Short” and wrote: “Sometimes, we see bubbles. Sometimes, there is something to do about it. Sometimes, the only winning move is not to play.”

Four days later, Burry’s fund disclosed its bearish positions in Nvidia and Palantir. The SEC filings are for the third quarter of this year. Scion Asset Management did not respond to a request for comment.

Angelo Zino, a tech analyst at CFRA Research, said a pullback in tech stocks was overdue, given how far they have rallied in recent months. He said Burry’s comments likely exacerbated concerns.

Burry has made public calls about the market in the years since “The Big Short.” He has not always been correct. The hedge fund manager in January 2023 infamously posted on X, “Sell,” before posting two months later, “I was wrong to say sell.”

Nonetheless, his words carry weight on Wall Street.

Burry’s return to social media comes at a time when investors have voiced concerns about expensive valuations, a market concentrated on a handful of large companies and rising investor expectations.

For example, Palantir beat Wall Street forecasts in earnings reported Monday. Yet it wasn’t enough to impress traders after a series of strong earnings results.

On Tuesday, its shares tumbled 7.95% — their worst day since August.

Palantir was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 in 2024 and is in the top five performing stocks this year. Its shares are still up 152% this year.

The company’s earnings results on Monday were “stellar,” according to CFRA Research’s Zino, but the company’s valuation — a measure of how pricey it is — “is a bit extreme.”

“Despite the great results, when you coincide that with the comments that Michael Burry made and everybody already talking about concerns about an AI bubble, I think the combination of those factors really helped drive a pullback in the shares, the broader tech index and as a result the broader markets,” Zino said. “We’re not overly concerned about the pullback, but I would say it’s one of those situations where you’ve got to keep an eye on it.”

Meanwhile, Nvidia shares fell 3.96% on Tuesday. Shares are still up 48% this year.

Alex Karp, CEO at Palantir, told CNBC on Tuesday that people betting against the company — including Burry — are “crazy.”

“When I hear short sellers attacking what I believe is clearly the most important software company in America, therefore in the world, in terms of our impact, … it just is super triggering,” Karp said.

“It’s crazy motivating,” Karp said. “Every time they short us, we are just like tripling down on getting the better numbers, in part honestly, to make them poorer.”

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