费城联储服务业调查显示就业和订单放缓
Philly Fed Services Signals Slowdown In Jobs, Orders Continues

原始链接: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/philly-fed-services-signals-slowdown-jobs-orders-continues

费城联储最近的经济数据在政府停摆期间显示出令人担忧的景象。非制造业活动有所放缓,新订单、销售额和整体企业活动均有所下降——后两者目前正在萎缩。企业还报告了全职就业人数的减少,并预计未来六个月内自身将不会增长,甚至可能出现区域性下降。 支付和收到的价格略有下降,但仍为正,表明持续存在通胀预期。重要的是,“软”调查数据正在显示出显著恶化,而有限的“硬”数据自停摆开始以来仍然平稳。 所有人的目光现在都集中在周五的CPI数据发布上,以获得更全面的看法,投资者应保持谨慎,因为预计会出现波动。这些数据表明经济环境正在恶化,可能会对近期市场乐观情绪构成挑战。

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原文

Desperate for any information amid the government shutdown-invoked vacuum of macro data, this morning we get a glimpse of more 'soft' survey data, showing that Non-Manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia Fed region softened overall,

Additionally, the indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues fell, with the latter two turning negative.

The firms reported an overall decrease in full-time employment.

Worse still, firms expected no change for growth over the next six months at the firm level and a decline in activity for the region. The diffusion index for future activity at the firm level fell 12 points to 0.2, its lowest reading since April

On the potentially bright side, Prices Paid and Received indices both fell last month (but remain positive, suggesting expectations for higher prices)...

Finally, since the shutdown began, what little hard data we have seen is basically flat while soft survey data has deteriorated significantly...

Of course, the big one will come on Friday when CPI is due to be released, and vol markets are aware of it...

Dip-buyers may want to reflect on that.

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